Twins vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 9, 2023

May 9, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Minnesota Twins (19-16) are favored on the moneyline (-115) in Tuesday’s contest against the San Diego Padres (18-17). Game time is at 7:40 PM ET on BSN. The Padres, with +157 odds, are favored against the spread (1.5).

Louie Varland will get the ball for Minnesota while San Diego will counter with Michael Wacha.

Twins vs. Padres Odds

Twins odds to win: -115
Padres odds to win: -104
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, May 9, 2023
Time: 7:40 PM ET
TV: BSN

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Who Will Win Twins vs. Padres?

Twins and Padres Betting Trends

The Twins have been favored on the moneyline 24 total times this season. They’ve finished 17-7 in those games.

Minnesota has gone 16-6 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -115 or shorter (72.7% winning percentage).

This season, the Padres have won seven out of the 14 games, or 50%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

San Diego is 4-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -104 or more on the moneyline.

The Twins have played in 35 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 14 times (14-18-3).

So far this season, the Padres and their opponents have hit the over in 13 of their 35 games with a total.

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins rank 16th in runs scored with 152, 4.3 per game.

Minnesota ranks ninth in MLB play with 45 home runs. They average 1.3 per game.

The Twins have the worst batting average in the majors (.219).

Minnesota’s 9.6 strikeouts per game are the fourth-most in MLB.

The 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Twins pitching staff ranks second in the majors.

Minnesota has the third-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.34).

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres rank 24th in the majors with 145 total runs scored this season.

San Diego’s 39 home runs rank 15th in Major League Baseball.

The Padres rank 23rd in MLB with a .233 team batting average.

San Diego ranks 19th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.9 Ks per contest.

The Padres strike out 8.5 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 20th in MLB.

San Diego pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.15 ERA this year, which ranks 13th in MLB.

Twins Key Players to Watch

The Twins will look to Varland (0-0) in his third start of the season.

Byron Buxton is batting .239 with eight home runs and 19 RBI. All three of those stats rank first among Minnesota hitters this season.

Carlos Correa is batting .193 with an OBP of .271 and a slugging percentage of .378 this season.

Max Kepler has 19 hits this season and a slash line of .224/.313/.447.

Jose Miranda has collected 28 hits this season and has an OBP of .275. He’s slugging .313 on the year.

Padres Key Players to Watch

The Padres’ Wacha (2-1) will make his seventh start of the season.

Xander Bogaerts leads the Padres with six home runs and has racked up a team-best batting average of .283.

Juan Soto has been productive as he leads his team with 17 RBI.

Jake Cronenworth has eight doubles, two triples, three home runs and 17 walks while hitting .244.

Manny Machado has six doubles, four home runs and 10 walks while hitting .252.

Twins and Padres Injuries

Twins: Kyle Farmer: 10 Day IL (Face), Kenta Maeda: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Caleb Thielbar: 15 Day IL (Oblique strain), Ronny Henriquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tyler Mahle: 60 Day IL (Arm), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Padres: Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Jose Azocar: 10 Day IL (Elbow inflammation), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)