Phillies vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 10, 2023

May 10, 2023

The Philadelphia Phillies (17-19) and Toronto Blue Jays (21-15) meet Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 4:05 PM ET on NBCS-PH. The Phillies are -111 moneyline favorites for the contest, however, the Blue Jays are favored against the spread of 1.5 runs with +151 odds.

Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler and Toronto’s Kevin Gausman have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Blue Jays Odds

Phillies odds to win: -111

Blue Jays odds to win: -109

Spread: Blue Jays -1.5

Total: 8 runs

Phillies vs. Blue Jays Promo Codes

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 10, 2023

Time: 4:05 PM ET

TV: NBCS-PH

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Who Will Win Phillies vs. Blue Jays?

Phillies and Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Phillies have won 12 of the 21 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (57.1%).

Philadelphia has gone 12-9 (winning 57.1% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -111 or shorter.

This season, the Blue Jays have won five out of the 10 games in which they’ve been the underdog.

Toronto is 5-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -109 or more on the moneyline.

The Phillies have had an over/under set by bookmakers 36 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 17 of those games (17-18-1).

The Blue Jays’ games have gone over the total in 17 of their 36 chances.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies rank 16th in runs scored with 158, 4.4 per game.

Philadelphia ranks 19th in MLB action with 39 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Phillies’ .266 batting average is fourth-best in the majors.

Philadelphia’s 8.9 strikeouts per game rank 20th in baseball.

The 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Phillies pitching staff ranks sixth in the majors.

Philadelphia’s 4.94 team ERA ranks 25th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays are among the highest scoring teams in the majors, ranking ninth with 177 total runs this season.

Toronto’s 41 home runs rank 14th in Major League Baseball.

The Blue Jays rank eighth in MLB with a .260 team batting average.

Toronto has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the sixth-best strikeout rate (8.1 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Blue Jays average 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, seventh-most in the league.

Toronto pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.19 ERA this year, which ranks 14th in MLB.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

Wheeler (3-2 with a 4.26 ERA and 46 strikeouts in 38 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his eighth of the season.

Nicholas Castellanos leads Philadelphia in batting average (.317) this season while adding five home runs and 24 RBI.

Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in runs batted in with 25 while batting .278 with three homers.

Brandon Marsh is batting .317 to lead Philadelphia, while adding four homers and 16 runs batted in this season.

Trea Turner has 40 hits and an OBP of .311 to go with a slugging percentage of .405 this season.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

Gausman (2-3) will take the mound for the Blue Jays, his eighth start of the season.

Bo Bichette paces the Blue Jays in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (24).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seven doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks while batting .313.

Matt Chapman leads the Blue Jays with a team-best batting average of .349.

Daulton Varsho is batting .240 with seven doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.

Phillies and Blue Jays Injuries

Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), José Alvarado: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Blue Jays: Zach Pop: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Adam Cimber: 15 Day IL (Rhomboid), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow), George Springer: day-to-day (Illness)