Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 10, 2023

May 10, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Atlanta Braves (25-11) host the Boston Red Sox (21-16) at 7:20 PM ET Wednesday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .343 this year (third in the league) for the favored Braves (-176), while Alex Verdugo ranks 10th in the majors with a .317 average for the underdog Red Sox.

Atlanta’s Dylan Lee gets the start, and he’ll go against Boston’s Brayan Bello.

Braves vs. Red Sox Odds

Braves odds to win: -176
Red Sox odds to win: +149
Spread: Braves -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 10, 2023
Time: 7:20 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Braves vs. Red Sox?

Braves and Red Sox Betting Trends

The Braves have been favored on the moneyline 32 total times this season. They’ve finished 21-11 in those games.

Atlanta has gone 10-2 (winning 83.3% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -176 or shorter.

This season, the Red Sox have won 12 out of the 23 games, or 52.2%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

Boston is 1-3 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +149 or more on the moneyline.

The Braves have combined with opponents to go over the total 22 times this season for a 22-13-1 record against the over/under.

The Red Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 25 of their 37 games with a total this season.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves have the No. 5 offense in MLB action scoring 5.5 runs per game (197 total runs).

Atlanta averages 1.6 home runs per game to rank third in MLB play with 59 total home runs.

The Braves are seventh in MLB with a .262 batting average.

Atlanta strikes out 9.1 times per game, the No. 19 mark in baseball.

The 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Braves pitching staff ranks third in MLB.

Atlanta has a 3.48 team ERA that ranks sixth across all MLB pitching staffs.

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox have scored 211 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB.

Boston ranks seventh in Major League Baseball with 48 home runs.

The Red Sox’s .270 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking third in MLB.

Boston is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking fifth with an average of 7.8 strikeouts per game.

The Red Sox strike out 8.5 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 20th in MLB.

Boston has the 26th-ranked ERA (4.97) in the majors this season.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Lee will start for the Braves, his first of the season.

Acuna leads Atlanta with a batting average of .343. He’s also hit six home runs with 21 RBI.

Sean Murphy leads Atlanta in runs batted in with 32 while batting .299 with nine homers.

Matt Olson’s 11 home runs lead all Atlanta hitters, and he’s slugging .551.

Ozzie Albies has 40 hits and an OBP of .320 to go with a slugging percentage of .531 this season.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

The Red Sox will send Bello (1-1) to the mound for his fifth start this season.

Verdugo has accumulated a team-high batting average of .317.

Rafael Devers’ 11 home runs and 34 RBI are both team-highs.

Masataka Yoshida is hitting .308 with six doubles, six home runs and 13 walks.

Justin Turner has eight doubles, three home runs and 16 walks while hitting .273.

Braves and Red Sox Injuries

Braves: Ehire Adrianza: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Max Fried: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Kyle Wright: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Red Sox: Christian Arroyo: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Yu Chang: 10 Day IL (Hand), Kutter Crawford: 15 Day IL (Knee), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Adam Duvall: 60 Day IL (Wrist), Zack Kelly: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Wyatt Mills: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee)