Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 10, 2023

May 10, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Miami Marlins (18-19) and Jorge Soler (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+125) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks (20-16) on Wednesday at 3:40 PM ET on BSAZ.

Arizona’s Merrill Kelly and Miami’s Edward Cabrera have been named the starters for this contest.

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds

Diamondbacks odds to win: -145
Marlins odds to win: +125
Spread: Diamondbacks -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 10, 2023
Time: 3:40 PM ET
TV: BSAZ

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Who Will Win Diamondbacks vs. Marlins?

Diamondbacks and Marlins Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have won 61.5% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (8-5).

Arizona has gone 5-3 (winning 62.5% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -145 or shorter.

The Marlins have been underdogs in 23 games this season and won 10 (43.5%) of those contests.

This season, Miami has won four of its 11 games, or 36.4%, when it’s the underdog by at least +125 on the moneyline.

The Diamondbacks have played in 36 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 18 times (18-16-2).

Games involving the Marlins have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 15 of 36 chances this season.

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

The Diamondbacks score the eighth-most runs in baseball (187 total, 5.2 per game).

Arizona ranks 19th in MLB with 39 total home runs.

The Diamondbacks are second in MLB with a .273 batting average.

Arizona strikes out 7.5 times per game to rank second in baseball.

The 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Diamondbacks pitching staff ranks 24th in MLB.

Arizona has the 24th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.90).

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins have scored the fewest runs in the league this season with just 124 (3.4 per game).

Miami has hit 32 homers this season, which ranks 24th in the majors.

The Marlins rank 15th in MLB with a .247 team batting average.

Miami ranks 16th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.5 Ks per contest.

The Marlins strike out nine batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 11th in MLB.

Miami has the 21st-ranked ERA (4.60) in the majors this season.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

Kelly (3-3 with a 3.20 ERA and 40 strikeouts in 39 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Diamondbacks, his eighth of the season.

Christian Walker is batting .282 this season with a team-high nine home runs and 28 RBI.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .305 with an OBP of .362 and a slugging percentage of .508 this season.

Ketel Marte is slashing .262/.319/.492 this season for the Diamondbacks.

Corbin Carroll leads Arizona in batting average (.308) this season while adding five home runs and 11 RBI.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

The Marlins will hand the ball to Cabrera (2-3) for his eighth start of the season.

Luis Arraez has accumulated a team-high batting average of .408.

Soler has hit nine home runs with 20 runs batted in. Both lead his team.

Jon Berti is batting .275 with five doubles, two home runs and nine walks.

Jazz Chisholm is batting .227 with two doubles, a triple, five home runs and 11 walks.

Diamondbacks and Marlins Injuries

Diamondbacks: Kyle Lewis: 10 Day IL (Illness), Carson Kelly: 10 Day IL (Forearm), Zach Davies: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Cole Sulser: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)

Marlins: Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Back), Garrett Cooper: 10 Day IL (Ear infection), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)