Mets vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 10, 2023

May 10, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Following a two-homer game last time out, Francisco Alvarez leads the New York Mets (17-19) into action as -159 favorites against the Cincinnati Reds (15-20). First pitch from Great American Ball Park at 6:40 PM ET on Wednesday, live on BSOH.

Justin Verlander takes the mound for New York while Hunter Greene is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Reds Odds

Mets odds to win: -159
Reds odds to win: +136
Spread: Mets -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 10, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: BSOH

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Who Will Win Mets vs. Reds?

Mets and Reds Betting Trends

The Mets have compiled a 13-13 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).

New York has gone 6-8 (winning 42.9% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -159 or shorter.

This season, the Reds have won nine out of the 24 games, or 37.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

Cincinnati has a record of 3-10, a 23.1% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +136 or more by bookmakers this season.

In the 36 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Mets, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 16 times (16-19-1).

The Reds and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of their 35 opportunities.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets rank 18th in runs scored with 156, 4.3 per game.

New York is 16th in MLB play with 40 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Mets are 21st in the majors with a .236 batting average.

New York strikes out 7.6 times per game, the third-best mark in the majors.

The 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Mets pitching staff ranks 15th in MLB.

New York has the 23rd-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.82).

Reds Stats & Insights

The Reds have scored the 23rd-most runs in the league this season with 151 (4.3 per game).

Cincinnati ranks 28th in Major League Baseball with just 27 home runs as a team.

The Reds have a team batting average of .248 this season, which ranks 14th among MLB teams.

Cincinnati ranks 16th in strikeouts per game (nine) among MLB offenses.

The Reds have a 9.3 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, seventh-best in baseball.

Cincinnati pitchers have a combined ERA of 5.22 ERA this year, which ranks 27th in MLB.

Mets Key Players to Watch

The Mets will look to Verlander (0-1) in his second start of the season.

Pete Alonso is batting .237 this season with a team-high 12 home runs and 30 RBI.

Francisco Lindor has collected 30 hits this season and has an OBP of .323. He’s slugging .448 on the year.

Brandon Nimmo is batting .300 to lead New York, while adding three homers and 14 runs batted in this season.

Jeff McNeil is batting .280 with an OBP of .384 and a slugging percentage of .392 this season.

Reds Key Players to Watch

The Reds will hand the ball to Greene (0-2) for his eighth start of the season.

Jonathan India is batting .307 with 11 doubles, three home runs and 17 walks.

TJ Friedl has 18 runs batted in while hitting .325. Both lead his team.

Spencer Steer has hit a team-best four homers.

Nick Senzel has three doubles, three home runs and seven walks while hitting .268.

Mets and Reds Injuries

Mets: Tim Locastro: 10 Day IL (Back), Tomás Nido: 10 Day IL (Eye), Jimmy Yacabonis: 15 Day IL (Quadricep), Brooks Raley: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Carlos Carrasco: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Omar Narváez: 60 Day IL (Calf), Stephen Ridings: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Elieser Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib), Max Scherzer: day-to-day (Neck)

Reds: Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Reiver Sanmartin: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Fernando Cruz: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Connor Overton: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Santillan: 60 Day IL (Back), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)