Pirates vs. Rockies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 10, 2023

May 10, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Colorado Rockies (15-22) and Jurickson Profar (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+118) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates (21-16) on Wednesday at 12:35 PM ET on SportsNet PT.

Rich Hill starts for Pittsburgh while Antonio Senzatela is Colorado’s starter for the contest.

Pirates vs. Rockies Odds

Pirates odds to win: -139
Rockies odds to win: +118
Spread: Pirates -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 10, 2023
Time: 12:35 PM ET
TV: SportsNet PT

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Who Will Win Pirates vs. Rockies?

Pirates and Rockies Betting Trends

The Pirates have won eight of the 10 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (80%).

Pittsburgh has a record of 6-2 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -139 or shorter (75% winning percentage).

This season, the Rockies have won 13 out of the 30 games, or 43.3%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

Colorado has a record of 11-15, a 42.3% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +118 or more by sportsbooks this season.

The Pirates have played in 37 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 18 times (18-18-1).

The Rockies’ games have gone over the total in 16 of their 37 chances.

Pirates Stats & Insights

The Pirates rank 11th in runs scored with 166, 4.5 per game.

Pittsburgh averages one home run per game to rank 22nd in MLB action with 37 total home runs .

The Pirates are 15th in the majors with a .247 batting average.

Pittsburgh’s hitters strike out 8.2 times per game, the ninth-lowest average in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Pirates has a collective 8.6 K/9, which ranks 17th in the majors.

Pittsburgh has a 3.91 team ERA that ranks 11th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Rockies Stats & Insights

The Rockies have scored 162 runs (4.4 per game) this season, which ranks 14th in MLB.

Colorado has hit 32 homers this season, which ranks 24th in the majors.

The Rockies’ .254 batting average ranks 12th in the league this season.

Colorado ranks 19th in strikeouts per game (8.6) among MLB offenses.

The Rockies average just 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, which ranks 26th in the league.

Colorado has the 22nd-ranked ERA (4.75) in the majors this season.

Pirates Key Players to Watch

The Pirates are sending Hill (3-3) out to make his eighth start of the season. He is 3-3 with a 4.78 ERA and 32 strikeouts through 37 2/3 innings pitched.

Bryan Reynolds leads Pittsburgh in runs batted in with 23 while batting .296, which is also best on the team.

Carlos Santana is batting .252 with an OBP of .338 and a slugging percentage of .390 this season.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has collected 34 base hits, an OBP of .318 and a slugging percentage of .373 this season.

Andrew McCutchen is batting .234 with an OBP of .351 and a slugging percentage of .449 this season.

Rockies Key Players to Watch

The Rockies’ Senzatela will make his second start of the season.

Kris Bryant is hitting .310 with five doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.

Charlie Blackmon is hitting .268 with eight doubles, three home runs and 16 walks.

Elias Diaz has put up a team-high batting average of .333 while leading the Rockies in runs batted in (18).

C.J. Cron has hit six home runs to pace his team.

Pirates and Rockies Injuries

Pirates: Vince Velásquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rob Zastryzny: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chase De Jong: 15 Day IL (Knee), Wil Crowe: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Oneil Cruz: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Ji-Man Choi: 60 Day IL (Achilles), Jarlin García: 60 Day IL (Arm), Max Kranick: 60 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Rockies: German Márquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Dinelson Lamet: 15 Day IL (Back), Noah Davis: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Ryan Rolison: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Lucas Gilbreath: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Brendan Rodgers: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Tyler Kinley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Sean Bouchard: 60 Day IL (Biceps)