Rays vs. Orioles Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 10, 2023

May 10, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Tampa Bay Rays (29-8) and the Baltimore Orioles (23-13) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Wednesday at 6:35 PM ET. The Rays are -114 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Orioles (-105).

Tampa Bay’s Jalen Beeks gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Dean Kremer.

Rays vs. Orioles Odds

Rays odds to win: -114
Orioles odds to win: -105
Spread: Rays -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 10, 2023
Time: 6:35 PM ET
TV: MASN

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Who Will Win Rays vs. Orioles?

Rays and Orioles Betting Trends

The Rays have a 28-7 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 80% of those games).

Tampa Bay has gone 28-7 (winning 80% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -114 or shorter.

The Orioles have won eight, or 47.1%, of the 17 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Baltimore is 8-8 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -105 or more on the moneyline.

The Rays have had an over/under set by bookmakers 37 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 19 of those games (19-15-3).

The Orioles and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 20 of their 36 opportunities.

Rays Stats & Insights

The Rays are the top-scoring team in baseball averaging 6.2 runs per game (230 total).

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit an MLB-leading 75 home runs, averaging two per game.

The Rays lead MLB with a .274 batting average.

Tampa Bay strikes out 8.5 times per game to rank 14th in baseball.

The Rays pitching staff ranks 15th in MLB with a collective 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

Tampa Bay’s 2.97 team ERA is No. 1 among all league pitching staffs.

Orioles Stats & Insights

The Orioles have scored the seventh-most runs in the league this season with 190.

Baltimore ranks 14th in Major League Baseball with 42 home runs.

The Orioles’ .253 batting average ranks 13th in the league this season.

Baltimore has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the eighth-best strikeout rate (8.4 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Orioles have a nine K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 11th in the majors.

Baltimore has pitched to a 4.34 ERA this season, which ranks 16th in baseball.

Rays Key Players to Watch

Beeks (1-2) gets the starting nod for the Rays, his third of the season.

Wander Franco has been key for Tampa Bay with seven home runs, 23 RBI and a batting average of .310 this season.

Yandy Diaz’s nine home runs are most among Tampa Bay batters. He’s driven in 19 runs this season while slugging .582.

Randy Arozarena leads Tampa Bay in batting average (.321), home runs (nine) and runs batted in (30) this season.

Josh Lowe has collected 29 hits this season and has an OBP of .373. He’s slugging .613 on the year.

Orioles Key Players to Watch

Kremer (3-1) will take to the mound for the Orioles and make his eighth start of the season.

Cedric Mullins has a team-high 28 runs batted in.

Adley Rutschman is batting .273 with five doubles, five home runs and 31 walks.

Ryan Mountcastle has hit a team-high eight home runs.

Jorge Mateo is hitting .293 with six doubles, six home runs and seven walks.

Rays and Orioles Injuries

Rays: Garrett Cleavinger: 15 Day IL (Knee), Pete Fairbanks: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Tyler Glasnow: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Jeffrey Springs: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shane Baz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shawn Armstrong: 60 Day IL (Neck), Andrew Kittredge: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Orioles: Ramón Urías: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Mychal Givens: 15 Day IL (Knee), Dillon Tate: 15 Day IL (Elbow), John Means: 60 Day IL (Elbow)