Twins vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 10, 2023

May 10, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Following a four-hit effort last time out, Juan Soto leads the San Diego Padres (19-17) into action as +112 underdogs against the Minnesota Twins (19-17). The game gets underway from Target Field at 7:40 PM ET on Wednesday, live on BSN.

Minnesota’s Pablo Lopez and San Diego’s Seth Lugo have been named the starters for this contest.

Twins vs. Padres Odds

Twins odds to win: -131
Padres odds to win: +112
Spread: Twins -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 10, 2023
Time: 7:40 PM ET
TV: BSN

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Who Will Win Twins vs. Padres?

Twins and Padres Betting Trends

The Twins have compiled a 17-8 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 68% of those games).

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -131 or shorter, Minnesota has gone 13-5 (72.2%).

The Padres have entered the game as underdogs 15 times this season and won eight, or 53.3%, of those games.

San Diego has entered six games this season as the underdog by +112 or more and is 2-4 in those contests.

In the 36 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Twins, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 14 times (14-19-3).

Games involving the Padres have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 13 of 36 chances this season.

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins rank 22nd in runs scored with 153, 4.3 per game.

Minnesota averages 1.3 home runs per game to rank ninth in MLB play with 45 total home runs.

The Twins rank last in MLB with a .218 batting average.

Minnesota strikes out 9.6 times per game, the fifth-worst mark in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Twins has a collective 9.7 K/9, the second-best in the majors.

Minnesota has a 3.36 team ERA that ranks fourth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres have scored 151 runs (4.2 per game) this season, which ranks 23rd in MLB.

San Diego’s 40 home runs rank 16th in Major League Baseball.

The Padres’ .234 batting average ranks 24th in the league this season.

San Diego ranks 18th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.9 Ks per contest.

The Padres average the 20th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.5) in the league this season.

San Diego pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.06 ERA this year, which ranks 12th in MLB.

Twins Key Players to Watch

Lopez (2-2 with a 3.77 ERA and 54 strikeouts in 43 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Twins, his eighth of the season.

Byron Buxton leads Minnesota in home runs with eight, runs batted in with 19 and his batting average of .233 is also best on his team.

Carlos Correa has 23 hits and an OBP of .261 to go with a slugging percentage of .363 this season.

Max Kepler is slashing .213/.308/.427 this season for the Twins.

Joey Gallo has 13 hits and an OBP of .315 to go with a slugging percentage of .527 this season.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Lugo (3-2) will take the mound for the Padres, his seventh start of the season.

Xander Bogaerts leads the Padres with six home runs and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .273.

Soto has put up 17 runs batted in to pace his team.

Jake Cronenworth is batting .238 with eight doubles, two triples, three home runs and 19 walks.

Manny Machado has put up 17 runs batted in to lead his team.

Twins and Padres Injuries

Twins: Kenta Maeda: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Caleb Thielbar: 15 Day IL (Oblique strain), Ronny Henriquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tyler Mahle: 60 Day IL (Arm), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Padres: Jose Azocar: 10 Day IL (Elbow inflammation), David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)