Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, May 11, 2023

May 11, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

A pair of division rivals take the field Thursday when the fourth-place San Francisco Giants (16-20) visit the second-place Arizona Diamondbacks (20-17). Oddsmakers favor the Giants (-144) for the contest, which starts at 9:40 PM ET on BSAZ.

Alex Cobb will get the ball for San Francisco while Arizona will counter with Tommy Henry.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Giants odds to win: -144
Diamondbacks odds to win: +123
Spread: Giants -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, May 11, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: BSAZ

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Who Will Win Giants vs. Diamondbacks?

Giants and Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Giants have won seven of the 16 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (43.8%).

San Francisco has a 3-7 record (winning only 30% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -144 or shorter.

The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 23 games this season and won 12 (52.2%) of those contests.

Arizona has a record of 6-7 in games where bookmakers have it as underdogs of at least +123 on the moneyline.

In the 36 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Giants, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 17 times (17-18-1).

The Diamondbacks and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of their 37 opportunities.

Giants Stats & Insights

The Giants have the No. 21 offense in baseball scoring 4.4 runs per game (159 total runs).

San Francisco ranks fourth in baseball with 58 home runs. They average 1.6 per game.

The Giants rank 17th in the majors with a .241 batting average.

San Francisco’s batters strike out 10 times per game, the 28th-most in MLB.

The Giants pitching staff is 14th in the majors with a collective 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

San Francisco has the 21st-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.61).

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

The Diamondbacks have scored the eighth-most runs in the league this season with 191.

Arizona’s 39 home runs rank 19th in Major League Baseball.

The Diamondbacks have a team batting average of .271 this season, which ranks second among MLB teams.

Arizona ranks third in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 7.7 Ks per contest.

The Diamondbacks strike out 8.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 24th in MLB.

Arizona pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.90 ERA this year, which ranks 26th in MLB.

Giants Key Players to Watch

Cobb (2-1) gets the starting nod for the Giants in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 2.01 ERA in 40 1/3 innings pitched, with 38 strikeouts.

Thairo Estrada leads San Francisco in batting average (.338) this season while adding six home runs and 14 RBI.

LaMonte Wade Jr’s seven home runs are most among San Francisco batters. He’s driven in 13 runs this season while slugging .531.

J.D. Davis leads San Francisco in home runs with seven and runs batted in with 20.

Wilmer Flores has collected 24 hits this season and has an OBP of .313. He’s slugging .500 on the year.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

The Diamondbacks will hand the ball to Henry (1-0) for his fourth start of the season.

Christian Walker has put up a team-high nine home runs and 28 runs batted in.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .306 to lead his team.

Ketel Marte has eight doubles, three triples, five home runs and 11 walks while batting .264.

Corbin Carroll is hitting .303 with 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 11 walks.

Giants and Diamondbacks Injuries

Giants: Mike Yastrzemski: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Austin Slater: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Brandon Crawford: 10 Day IL (Calf), Darin Ruf: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Alex Wood: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Roberto Pérez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luke Jackson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis González: 60 Day IL (Back), Thomas Szapucki: 60 Day IL (Left arm)

Diamondbacks: Kyle Lewis: 10 Day IL (Illness), Carson Kelly: 10 Day IL (Forearm), Zach Davies: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Cole Sulser: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)