NEWSLETTER
The New York Mets (18-19) visit the Cincinnati Reds (15-21) Thursday to close out a three-game series. The Mets are favored (-196) to win the rubber match, which starts at 12:35 PM ET from Great American Ball Park.
Kodai Senga will get the ball for New York while Cincinnati will counter with Derek Law.
Mets vs. Reds Odds
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Who Will Win Mets vs. Reds?
Mets and Reds Betting Trends
The Mets have put together a 14-13 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 51.9% of those games).
When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -196 or shorter, New York has a record of 3-5 (37.5%).
The Reds have entered the game as underdogs 25 times this season and won nine, or 36%, of those games.
This season, Cincinnati has won one of its seven games when it’s the underdog by at least +165 on the moneyline.
The Mets have played in 37 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 16 times (16-20-1).
So far this season, the Reds and their opponents have hit the over in 19 of their 36 games with a total.
Mets Stats & Insights
The Mets are the 21st-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.3 runs per game (158 total).
New York ranks 16th in MLB action with 41 total home runs.
The Mets’ .237 batting average ranks 22nd in MLB.
New York strikes out 7.6 times per game, the second-fewest mark in baseball.
The pitching staff for the Mets has a collective 8.7 K/9, which ranks 15th in the majors.
New York has the 22nd-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.71).
Reds Stats & Insights
The Reds have scored 152 runs (4.2 per game) this season, which ranks 25th in MLB.
Cincinnati has hit just 27 homers this season, which ranks 28th in the majors.
The Reds rank 16th in MLB with a .243 team batting average.
Cincinnati ranks 16th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 9.1 Ks per contest.
The Reds strike out 9.2 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, ninth-best in MLB.
Cincinnati has pitched to a 5.13 ERA this season, which ranks 27th in baseball.
Mets Key Players to Watch
Senga makes the start for the Mets, his seventh of the season. He is 4-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings pitched.
Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs with 13 and runs batted in with 31.
Francisco Lindor has collected 31 hits this season and has an OBP of .319. He’s slugging .439 on the year.
Brandon Nimmo leads New York with a .311 batting average while slugging three homers and driving in 15 runs.
Jeff McNeil is batting .277 with an OBP of .377 and a slugging percentage of .385 this season.
Reds Key Players to Watch
Law will make his first start of the season for the Reds.
Jonathan India has 11 doubles, three home runs and 17 walks while hitting .305.
TJ Friedl is batting .314 to lead his team.
Spencer Steer paces the Reds with four home runs.
Jake Fraley has put up 19 runs batted in to pace his team.
Mets and Reds Injuries
Mets: Tomás Nido: 10 Day IL (Eye), Tim Locastro: 10 Day IL (Back), Jimmy Yacabonis: 15 Day IL (Quadricep), Brooks Raley: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Carlos Carrasco: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Omar Narváez: 60 Day IL (Calf), Stephen Ridings: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Elieser Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib), Max Scherzer: day-to-day (Neck)
Reds: Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Reiver Sanmartin: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Fernando Cruz: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Connor Overton: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Santillan: 60 Day IL (Back), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)
Mets vs. Reds Prediction
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