Yankees vs. Rays Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, May 11, 2023

May 11, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Tampa Bay Rays (29-9) serve as underdogs on the moneyline (-106) in Thursday’s contest with the New York Yankees (21-17). The game starts at 7:05 PM ET on MLB Network. The Rays are favored against the spread in this one (1.5) with +155 odds.

Domingo German takes the mound for New York while Drew Rasmussen is Tampa Bay’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Rays Odds

Yankees odds to win: -113
Rays odds to win: -106
Spread: Rays -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, May 11, 2023
Time: 7:05 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Yankees vs. Rays?

Yankees and Rays Betting Trends

The Yankees have compiled a 19-10 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 65.5% of those games).

New York has an 18-10 record (winning 64.3% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -113 or shorter.

The Rays have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Tampa Bay has played as an underdog of -106 or more twice this season and split those games.

The Yankees have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 15 times this season for a 15-22-1 record against the over/under.

The Rays’ games have gone over the total in 19 of their 38 chances.

Yankees Stats & Insights

The Yankees have the No. 13 offense in baseball scoring 4.4 runs per game (168 total runs).

New York averages 1.3 home runs per game to rank fifth in MLB play with 51 total home runs.

The Yankees rank 23rd in MLB with a .235 batting average.

New York’s hitters strike out eight times per game, the eighth-lowest average in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Yankees has a collective 9.6 K/9, the fifth-best in MLB.

New York has the seventh-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.59).

Rays Stats & Insights

The Rays lead MLB with 231 runs scored this season.

Tampa Bay has hit 75 homers to lead Major League Baseball this season.

The Rays rank first in the majors with a .272 team batting average.

Tampa Bay ranks 14th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.5 Ks per contest.

The Rays have an 8.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 17th in the majors.

Tampa Bay has an ERA of 2.95 as a team, best in baseball.

Yankees Key Players to Watch

The Yankees will send German (2-2) to make his eighth start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.35 ERA and 44 strikeouts through 39 1/3 innings pitched.

Gleyber Torres leads New York in home runs this season with six while driving in 17 runs.

Anthony Rizzo is batting .302 this season with six home runs and 17 RBI.

DJ LeMahieu leads New York in RBI with 18 while batting .277 with five home runs.

Aaron Judge leads New York in home runs with six while driving in 16 runs and slugging .515.

Rays Key Players to Watch

Rasmussen (3-2) will take the mound for the Rays, his eighth start of the season.

Wander Franco is hitting .310 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks.

Yandy Diaz’s nine home runs are a team-high mark.

Randy Arozarena paces the Rays in home runs (nine), runs batted in (30) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .319.

Josh Lowe has seven doubles, seven home runs and nine walks while hitting .309.

Yankees and Rays Injuries

Yankees: Giancarlo Stanton: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Oswald Peraza: 10 Day IL (Ankle), Josh Donaldson: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Carlos Rodón: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Severino: 15 Day IL (Lat), Jonathan Loaisiga: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Lou Trivino: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Gil: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Frankie Montás: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tommy Kahnle: 60 Day IL (Biceps), Aaron Hicks: day-to-day (Hip)

Rays: Garrett Cleavinger: 15 Day IL (Knee), Pete Fairbanks: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Tyler Glasnow: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Jeffrey Springs: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shane Baz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shawn Armstrong: 60 Day IL (Neck), Andrew Kittredge: 60 Day IL (Elbow)