Braves vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 12, 2023

May 12, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Friday when the Atlanta Braves (25-12) and Toronto Blue Jays (21-16) take to the field at 7:07 PM ET, live on SN1. Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .347 for the Braves (-156 favorites on the moneyline) while Matt Chapman leads the underdog Blue Jays (+133) with a .338 average.

Spencer Strider starts for Atlanta while Chris Bassitt is Toronto’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Blue Jays Odds

Braves odds to win: -156
Blue Jays odds to win: +133
Spread: Braves -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, May 12, 2023
Time: 7:07 PM ET
TV: SN1

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Who Will Win Braves vs. Blue Jays?

Braves and Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Braves have won 63.6% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (21-12).

Atlanta has a 13-4 record (winning 76.5% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -156 or shorter.

This season, the Blue Jays have won five out of the 11 games, or 45.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

Toronto has played as an underdog of +133 or more once this season and lost that game.

The Braves have played in 37 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 22 times (22-14-1).

The Blue Jays and their opponents have hit the over in 17 of their 37 games with a total this season.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves have the No. 5 offense in baseball scoring 5.4 runs per game (199 total runs).

Atlanta ranks third-best in MLB action with 60 total home runs.

The Braves rank seventh in the majors with a .262 batting average.

Atlanta strikes out 9.1 times per game to rank 21st in the majors.

The Braves pitching staff is third in MLB with a collective 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

Atlanta has a 3.52 team ERA that ranks sixth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays have scored 178 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB.

Toronto’s 42 home runs rank 15th in Major League Baseball.

The Blue Jays rank 11th in MLB with a .256 team batting average.

Toronto is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking seventh with an average of 8.2 strikeouts per game.

The Blue Jays average 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, sixth-most in the league.

Toronto pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.10 ERA this year, which ranks 13th in MLB.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Strider (4-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 67 strikeouts in 40 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Braves, his eighth of the season.

Acuna leads Atlanta with a .347 batting average. He’s also hit seven homers and has 22 RBI.

Sean Murphy is a key run producer for Atlanta with a .288 average, nine homers and 32 RBI.

Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs with 11. He’s driven in 29 runs and is slugging .536.

Ozzie Albies has 40 hits and an OBP of .308 to go with a slugging percentage of .517 this season.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

The Blue Jays’ Bassitt (4-2) will make his eighth start of the season.

Bo Bichette leads the Blue Jays with eight home runs and 24 runs batted in.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .312 with eight doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks.

Chapman leads the Blue Jays with a team-high batting average of .338.

Daulton Varsho is hitting .233 with seven doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.

Braves and Blue Jays Injuries

Braves: Ehire Adrianza: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Max Fried: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Kyle Wright: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Blue Jays: Zach Pop: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Adam Cimber: 15 Day IL (Rhomboid), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow)