Brewers vs. Royals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 12, 2023

May 12, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Michael Massey leads the Kansas City Royals (12-27) into Friday’s matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers (20-17) on a two-game homer streak. His Royals are underdogs for the contest, however, with sportsbooks naming the Brewers as -279 moneyline favorites. The game starts at 8:10 PM ET from American Family Field, live on Apple TV+.

Corbin Burnes will get the ball for Milwaukee while Kansas City will counter with Josh Taylor.

Brewers vs. Royals Odds

Brewers odds to win: -279
Royals odds to win: +231
Spread: Brewers -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, May 12, 2023
Time: 8:10 PM ET
TV: Apple TV+

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Who Will Win Brewers vs. Royals?

Brewers and Royals Betting Trends

The Brewers have won 54.5% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (12-10).

Milwaukee has never played a game this season with moneyline odds of -279 or shorter.

The Royals have entered the game as underdogs 34 times this season and won 11, or 32.4%, of those games.

Kansas City has played as an underdog of +231 or more once this season and lost that game.

The Brewers have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 17 times this season for a 17-19-1 record against the over/under.

The Royals and their opponents have hit the over in 19 of their 38 games with a total this season.

Brewers Stats & Insights

The Brewers have the No. 19 offense in MLB action scoring 4.4 runs per game (161 total runs).

Milwaukee is 12th in baseball with 43 total home runs.

The Brewers’ .239 batting average ranks 18th in the majors.

Milwaukee strikes out nine times per game to rank 18th in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Brewers has a collective 7.8 K/9, the fifth-worst in MLB.

Milwaukee’s 3.69 team ERA ranks ninth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Royals Stats & Insights

The Royals rank 17th in the majors with 163 total runs scored this season.

Kansas City ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball with 38 home runs.

The Royals rank 18th in MLB with a .239 team batting average.

Kansas City ranks 22nd in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.6 Ks per contest.

The Royals average the 19th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.5) in the league this season.

Kansas City pitchers have a combined ERA of 5.37 ERA this year, which ranks 28th in MLB.

Brewers Key Players to Watch

The Brewers will send Burnes (3-2) out to make his eighth start of the season. He is 3-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 32 strikeouts through 39 2/3 innings pitched.

Rowdy Tellez is batting .239 this season with a team-high 10 home runs and 23 RBI.

Willy Adames leads Milwaukee in runs batted in with 23 while batting .230 with seven homers.

Christian Yelich is slashing .239/.323/.355 this season for the Brewers.

Brian Anderson is batting .238 with an OBP of .319 and a slugging percentage of .413 this season.

Royals Key Players to Watch

Taylor gets the nod for the Royals and will make his first start of the season.

Vinnie Pasquantino has racked up a team-high batting average of .290, while pacing the Royals in home runs (seven).

Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .228 with five doubles, four triples, six home runs and nine walks.

Salvador Perez has racked up a team-best seven home runs and 21 runs batted in.

Edward Olivares is batting .245 with six doubles, two triples, three home runs and eight walks.

Brewers and Royals Injuries

Brewers: Brandon Woodruff: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Matt Bush: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Garrett Mitchell: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Urías: 60 Day IL (Hamstring), Jason Alexander: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Wilson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Aaron Ashby: 60 Day IL (Labrum)

Royals: Nicky Lopez: 10 Day IL (Appendicitis), Kyle Isbel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Waters: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Ryan Yarbrough: 15 Day IL (Head), Daniel Lynch: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Kris Bubic: 60 Day IL (Flexor), Jake Brentz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Angel Zerpa: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Diego Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Salvador Pérez: day-to-day (Vision)