Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 12, 2023

May 12, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Led by Miguel Vargas (two-game homer streak), the Los Angeles Dodgers (23-15) are favorites versus the San Diego Padres (19-19) Friday at 10:10 PM ET. Oddsmakers have named the Dodgers as -150 favorites for the game, which airs on MLB Network.

Los Angeles’ Dustin May gets the start, and he’ll go against San Diego’s Blake Snell.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds

Dodgers odds to win: -150
Padres odds to win: +128
Spread: Dodgers -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, May 12, 2023
Time: 10:10 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Dodgers vs. Padres?

Dodgers and Padres Betting Trends

The Dodgers have won 21 of the 34 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (61.8%).

Los Angeles has gone 11-9 (winning 55% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -150 or shorter.

This season, the Padres have won eight out of the 16 games, or 50%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

San Diego has played as an underdog of +128 or more twice this season and split those games.

The Dodgers have played in 38 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 21 times (21-16-1).

So far this season, the Padres and their opponents have hit the over in 13 of their 38 games with a total.

Dodgers Stats & Insights

The Dodgers have the No. 4 offense in MLB action scoring 5.5 runs per game (208 total runs).

Los Angeles ranks second-best in MLB play with 64 total home runs.

The Dodgers have the 24th-ranked batting average in the majors (.232).

Los Angeles’ 9.3 strikeouts per game are the fifth-most in MLB.

The Dodgers pitching staff is 19th in the majors with a collective 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Los Angeles’ 4.10 team ERA ranks 13th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres have scored the 23rd-most runs in the league this season with 157 (4.1 per game).

San Diego has hit 43 homers this season, which ranks 12th in the majors.

The Padres have a team batting average of just .230 this season, which ranks 26th among MLB teams.

San Diego ranks 25th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of nine Ks per contest.

The Padres average the 19th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.5) in the league this season.

San Diego has pitched to a 4.03 ERA this season, which ranks 12th in baseball.

Dodgers Key Players to Watch

May (4-1 with a 2.68 ERA and 29 strikeouts in 40 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Dodgers, his eighth of the season.

Freddie Freeman leads Los Angeles with a .296 batting average. He’s also hit six homers and has 17 RBI.

Max Muncy is batting .209 this season with a team-high 12 home runs and 29 RBI.

Mookie Betts is slashing .246/.348/.471 this season for the Dodgers.

Will Smith is batting .325 with an OBP of .420 and a slugging percentage of .625 this season.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Snell (1-5) will take to the mound for the Padres and make his eighth start of the season.

Juan Soto has put up a team-high six home runs and 19 runs batted in.

Xander Bogaerts has shown his power as he leads his team with six home runs with a team-leading .266 batting average.

Jake Cronenworth is hitting .228 with eight doubles, two triples, three home runs and 21 walks.

Manny Machado is hitting .250 with seven doubles, five home runs and 10 walks.

Dodgers and Padres Injuries

Dodgers: Michael Grove: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jimmy Nelson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Daniel Hudson: 60 Day IL (Knee), Walker Buehler: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Álex Reyes: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), J.P. Feyereisen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Blake Treinen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ryan Pepiot: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Gavin Lux: 60 Day IL (Knee), Noah Syndergaard: day-to-day (Finger)

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Jose Azocar: 10 Day IL (Elbow inflammation), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)