Mariners vs. Tigers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 12, 2023

May 12, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Coming off of a 1-2 series loss to the Rangers, the Seattle Mariners (18-19) are -120 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a three-game series against the Detroit Tigers (17-19). The series begins at Comerica Park, starting on Friday at 6:40 PM ET on BSDET.

Marco Gonzales starts for Seattle while Matthew Boyd is Detroit’s starter for the contest.

Mariners vs. Tigers Odds

Mariners odds to win: -120
Tigers odds to win: +101
Spread: Mariners -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, May 12, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: BSDET

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Who Will Win Mariners vs. Tigers?

Mariners and Tigers Betting Trends

The Mariners have been favored on the moneyline 25 total times this season. They’ve finished 13-12 in those games.

Seattle has an 11-10 record (winning 52.4% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -120 or shorter.

The Tigers have entered the game as underdogs 35 times this season and won 16, or 45.7%, of those games.

Detroit has a record of 15-19 in games where sportsbooks have it as underdogs of at least +101 on the moneyline.

In the 37 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Mariners, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 17 times (17-18-2).

The Tigers’ games have gone over the total in 18 of their 36 chances.

Mariners Stats & Insights

The Mariners rank 23rd in runs scored with 157, 4.2 per game.

Seattle is 22nd in MLB action with 38 home runs. They average one per game.

The Mariners have the third-worst batting average in the majors (.222).

Seattle’s hitters strike out 9.8 times per game, the 27th-most in the majors.

The 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Mariners pitching staff ranks eighth in MLB.

Seattle has a 3.40 team ERA that ranks fifth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Tigers Stats & Insights

The Tigers have scored the 28th-most runs in the league this season with just 132 (3.7 per game).

Detroit has hit just 30 homers this season, which ranks 27th in the majors.

The Tigers’ .233 batting average ranks 23rd in the league this season.

Detroit ranks 23rd in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 9.4 Ks per contest.

The Tigers have a 7.7 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 27th in baseball.

Detroit pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.34 ERA this year, which ranks 17th in MLB.

Mariners Key Players to Watch

Gonzales (2-0) takes the mound for the Mariners in his seventh start of the season. He’s put together a 4.70 ERA in 30 2/3 innings pitched, with 23 strikeouts.

Ty France has been key for Seattle with two home runs, 18 RBI and a batting average of .270 this season.

Jarred Kelenic is batting .294 this season with seven home runs and 17 RBI.

J.P. Crawford has 26 hits this season and a slash line of .243/.382/.346.

Julio Rodriguez is batting .205 with an OBP of .270 and a slugging percentage of .384 this season.

Tigers Key Players to Watch

The Tigers’ Boyd (2-2) will make his seventh start of the season.

Javier Baez is hitting .256 with six doubles, three home runs and eight walks.

Spencer Torkelson has put up 17 runs batted in to lead his team.

Riley Greene paces the Tigers with a .262 batting average.

Zach McKinstry is batting .272 with five doubles, two home runs and 11 walks.

Mariners and Tigers Injuries

Mariners: Dylan Moore: 10 Day IL (Olique), Easton McGee: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Andres Munoz: 15 Day IL (Deltoid), Robbie Ray: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Penn Murfee: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Evan White: 60 Day IL (Adductor)

Tigers: Kerry Carpenter: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Trey Wingenter: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Beau Brieske: 15 Day IL (Arm), Matt Manning: 60 Day IL (Foot), Austin Meadows: 60 Day IL (Anxiety), Casey Mize: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tarik Skubal: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Freddy Pacheco: 60 Day IL (Elbow)