Marlins vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 12, 2023

May 12, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Miami Marlins (19-19) are set to take on the Cincinnati Reds (16-21) Friday at 6:40 PM ET, airing on BSFL. The Marlins are listed as -140 favorites by oddsmakers, while the underdog Reds have +120 odds for the contest.

Eury Perez gets the starting nod for Miami while Graham Ashcraft is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Marlins vs. Reds Odds

Marlins odds to win: -140
Reds odds to win: +120
Spread: Marlins -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, May 12, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: BSFL

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Who Will Win Marlins vs. Reds?

Marlins and Reds Betting Trends

The Marlins have put together a 7-6 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 53.8% of those games).

Miami has played as moneyline favorites of -140 or shorter in just two games this season, which it won both.

This season, the Reds have been the underdog 26 times and won 10, or 38.5%, of those games.

This season, Cincinnati has won five of its 19 games, or 26.3%, when it’s the underdog by at least +120 on the moneyline.

In the 37 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Marlins, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 16 times (16-20-1).

The Reds’ games have gone over the total in 19 of their 37 chances.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins are the second-lowest scoring team in MLB play averaging 3.4 runs per game (129 total).

Miami is 24th in MLB with 33 total home runs.

The Marlins have the 14th-ranked batting average in the league (.246).

Miami strikes out 8.6 times per game, the No. 14 average in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Marlins has a collective 9.1 K/9, the 10th-best in MLB.

Miami has a 4.58 team ERA that ranks 21st among all MLB pitching staffs.

Reds Stats & Insights

The Reds have scored the 23rd-most runs in the league this season with 157 (4.2 per game).

Cincinnati has hit just 28 homers this season, which ranks 28th in the majors.

The Reds have a team batting average of .245 this season, which ranks 15th among MLB teams.

Cincinnati ranks 20th with an average of 9.1 strikeouts per game.

The Reds have a 9.2 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, ninth-best in baseball.

Cincinnati has pitched to a 4.99 ERA this season, which ranks 27th in baseball.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

Perez will take the mound to start for the Marlins, his first of the season.

Luis Arraez leads Miami in batting average (.398) this season.

Jorge Soler leads Miami in home runs (nine) and runs batted in (20) this season while batting .235.

Jon Berti has 30 hits this season and a slash line of .265/.317/.363.

Jazz Chisholm has 30 hits and an OBP of .282 to go with a slugging percentage of .360 this season.

Reds Key Players to Watch

The Reds’ Ashcraft (2-1) will make his eighth start of the season.

Jonathan India has racked up a team-high batting average of .311.

TJ Friedl has five doubles, three triples, three home runs and seven walks while hitting .306.

Spencer Steer has collected a team-best five home runs.

Nick Senzel is hitting .261 with four doubles, three home runs and seven walks.

Marlins and Reds Injuries

Marlins: Garrett Cooper: 10 Day IL (Ear infection), Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Back), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)

Reds: Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Reiver Sanmartin: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Fernando Cruz: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Connor Overton: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Santillan: 60 Day IL (Back), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)