Mets vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 12, 2023

May 12, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The New York Mets (18-20) are favorites (-121) on the moneyline when they square off against the Washington Nationals (16-21) Friday at 7:05 PM ET, live on MASN.

New York’s Tylor Megill gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s MacKenzie Gore.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

Mets odds to win: -121
Nationals odds to win: +102
Spread: Mets -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, May 12, 2023
Time: 7:05 PM ET
TV: MASN

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Who Will Win Mets vs. Nationals?

Mets and Nationals Betting Trends

The Mets have won 50% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (14-14).

New York has a 13-13 record (winning 50% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -121 or shorter.

This season, the Nationals have been the underdog 37 times and won 16, or 43.2%, of those games.

Washington is 15-21 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +102 or more on the moneyline.

The Mets have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 38 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 16 of those games (16-21-1).

The Nationals’ games have gone over the total in 15 of their 37 chances.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets have the No. 22 offense in baseball scoring 4.2 runs per game (158 total runs).

New York ranks 17th in MLB action with 41 total home runs.

The Mets are 22nd in the majors with a .236 batting average.

New York strikes out 7.6 times per game to rank fourth in baseball.

The 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Mets pitching staff ranks 14th in the majors.

New York has the 23rd-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.73).

Nationals Stats & Insights

The Nationals have scored 149 runs (just four per game) this season, which ranks 26th in MLB.

Washington has hit just 24 homers this season, which ranks 29th in the majors.

The Nationals rank eighth in MLB with a .259 team batting average.

Washington is the best at avoiding strikeouts in MLB this season with only 256 as a team.

The Nationals have a 7.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 28th in baseball.

Washington has the 18th-ranked ERA (4.44) in the majors this season.

Mets Key Players to Watch

Megill (3-2 with a 4.33 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 35 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mets, his eighth of the season.

Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs with 13 and runs batted in with 31.

Brandon Nimmo leads New York in batting with a .312 average while slugging three homers and driving in 15 runs.

Francisco Lindor has collected 32 base hits, an OBP of .317 and a slugging percentage of .434 this season.

Jeff McNeil is batting .269 with an OBP of .368 and a slugging percentage of .373 this season.

Nationals Key Players to Watch

The Nationals will send Gore (3-2) to the mound for his eighth start this season.

Luis Garcia has five doubles, a triple, three home runs and nine walks while hitting .264.

Lane Thomas has hit four home runs with 18 runs batted in. Both lead his team.

Alex Call is hitting .230 with four doubles, three home runs and 17 walks.

Keibert Ruiz is hitting .254 with five doubles, three home runs and nine walks.

Mets and Nationals Injuries

Mets: Tomás Nido: 10 Day IL (Eye), Tim Locastro: 10 Day IL (Back), Jimmy Yacabonis: 15 Day IL (Quadricep), Brooks Raley: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Carlos Carrasco: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Omar Narváez: 60 Day IL (Calf), Stephen Ridings: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Elieser Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib), Max Scherzer: day-to-day (Neck)

Nationals: Victor Robles: 10 Day IL (Back), Corey Dickerson: 10 Day IL (Calf), Israel Pineda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Chad Kuhl: 15 Day IL (Foot), Stephen Strasburg: 60 Day IL (Ribs/shoulder), Tanner Rainey: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Victor Arano: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)