Blue Jays vs. Braves Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 13, 2023

May 13, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Saturday when the Toronto Blue Jays (22-16) and Atlanta Braves (25-13) take to the field at 3:07 PM ET, live on SN1. Matt Chapman is batting .328 for the Blue Jays (-129 favorites on the moneyline) while Ronald Acuna Jr. leads the underdog Braves (+109) with a .345 average.

Jose Berrios will get the ball for Toronto while Atlanta will counter with Bryce Elder.

Blue Jays vs. Braves Odds

Blue Jays odds to win: -129
Braves odds to win: +109
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 13, 2023
Time: 3:07 PM ET
TV: SN1

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Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Braves?

Blue Jays and Braves Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have gone 16-10 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 61.5% of those games).

Toronto has a record of 13-8 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -129 or shorter (61.9% winning percentage).

This season, the Braves have been listed as the underdog in four games but won them all.

Atlanta has played as an underdog of +109 or more once this season and won that game.

In the 38 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Blue Jays, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 17 times (17-19-2).

The Braves’ games have gone over the total in 22 of their 38 chances.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays score the 10th-most runs in baseball (181 total, 4.8 per game).

Toronto is 14th in MLB play with 43 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Blue Jays’ .255 batting average is 10th-best in MLB.

Toronto strikes out 8.3 times per game, the eighth-fewest mark in the majors.

The Blue Jays pitching staff ranks sixth in MLB with a collective 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Toronto has a 3.99 team ERA that ranks 12th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves have scored the seventh-most runs in the league this season with 199.

Atlanta has hit 60 homers this season, which ranks fourth in the majors.

The Braves rank ninth in MLB with a .258 team batting average.

Atlanta ranks 19th with an average of 9.1 strikeouts per game.

The Braves strike out 9.8 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, second-best in MLB.

Atlanta has pitched to a 3.51 ERA this season, which ranks sixth in baseball.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

Berrios makes the start for the Blue Jays, his eighth of the season. He is 3-3 with a 4.91 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 40 1/3 innings pitched.

Bo Bichette is batting .321 this season with a team-high eight home runs and 24 RBI.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .310 with an OBP of .389 and a slugging percentage of .521 this season.

Chapman is batting .328 to lead Toronto, while adding five homers and 22 runs batted in this season.

Daulton Varsho has 32 hits and an OBP of .310 to go with a slugging percentage of .416 this season.

Braves Key Players to Watch

The Braves will hand the ball to Elder (3-0) for his eighth start of the season.

Acuna has put up a team-high batting average of .345.

Sean Murphy has totaled 32 runs batted in to pace his team.

Matt Olson has a team-high 11 home runs.

Ozzie Albies is hitting .268 with seven doubles, a triple, nine home runs and seven walks.

Blue Jays and Braves Injuries

Blue Jays: Zach Pop: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Adam Cimber: 15 Day IL (Rhomboid), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Braves: Ehire Adrianza: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Max Fried: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Kyle Wright: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow)