Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 13, 2023

May 13, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Los Angeles Dodgers (24-15) roll into Saturday’s matchup with the San Diego Padres (19-20) looking to extend a three-game winning streak. The contest starts at 7:15 PM ET on FOX with the Dodgers listed as -152 favorites on the moneyline.

Los Angeles’ Julio Urias gets the start, and he’ll go against San Diego’s Joe Musgrove.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds

Dodgers odds to win: -152
Padres odds to win: +130
Spread: Dodgers -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 13, 2023
Time: 7:15 PM ET
TV: FOX

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Who Will Win Dodgers vs. Padres?

Dodgers and Padres Betting Trends

The Dodgers have won 62.9% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (22-13).

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -152 or shorter, Los Angeles has a record of 10-9 (52.6%).

The Padres have won eight, or 47.1%, of the 17 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

San Diego has played as an underdog of +130 or more twice this season and split those games.

The Dodgers have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 39 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 21 of those games (21-17-1).

The Padres’ games have gone over the total in 13 of their 39 chances.

Dodgers Stats & Insights

The Dodgers have the No. 4 offense in MLB play scoring 5.4 runs per game (212 total runs).

Los Angeles ranks second in baseball with 66 home runs. They average 1.7 per game.

The Dodgers have the 25th-ranked batting average in the majors (.232).

Los Angeles strikes out 9.2 times per game to rank 25th in baseball.

The 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Dodgers pitching staff ranks 22nd in MLB.

Los Angeles has a 4.04 team ERA that ranks 13th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres have scored 159 runs (4.1 per game) this season, which ranks 25th in MLB.

San Diego ranks 14th in Major League Baseball with 43 home runs.

The Padres have a team batting average of just .230 this season, which ranks 26th among MLB teams.

San Diego ranks 22nd with an average of nine strikeouts per game.

The Padres average the 19th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.5) in the league this season.

San Diego has the 13th-ranked ERA (4.04) in the majors this season.

Dodgers Key Players to Watch

Urias (4-3 with a 3.77 ERA and 48 strikeouts in 45 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Dodgers, his ninth of the season.

Freddie Freeman leads Los Angeles with a batting average of .303. He’s also hit seven home runs with 20 RBI.

Mookie Betts has 35 hits and an OBP of .352 to go with a slugging percentage of .489 this season.

Will Smith has collected 27 base hits, an OBP of .423 and a slugging percentage of .614 this season.

Max Muncy is batting .202 this season with a team-high 12 home runs and 29 RBI.

Padres Key Players to Watch

The Padres will send Musgrove (1-0) to the mound for his fourth start this season.

Juan Soto leads the Padres in home runs (six) and runs batted in (19).

Xander Bogaerts has put his power on display as he paces his team with six home runs with a team-high .266 batting average.

Jake Cronenworth is hitting .229 with eight doubles, two triples, three home runs and 21 walks.

Manny Machado has seven doubles, five home runs and 10 walks while hitting .243.

Dodgers and Padres Injuries

Dodgers: Michael Grove: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jimmy Nelson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Daniel Hudson: 60 Day IL (Knee), Walker Buehler: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Álex Reyes: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), J.P. Feyereisen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Blake Treinen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ryan Pepiot: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Gavin Lux: 60 Day IL (Knee), Noah Syndergaard: day-to-day (Finger)

Padres: Jose Azocar: 10 Day IL (Elbow inflammation), David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)