Marlins vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 13, 2023

May 13, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Cincinnati Reds (17-21) and Jake Fraley (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+193) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Miami Marlins (19-20) on Saturday at 1:10 PM ET on BSFL.

Miami’s Sandy Alcantara and Cincinnati’s Derek Law have been named the starters for this contest.

Marlins vs. Reds Odds

Marlins odds to win: -234
Reds odds to win: +193
Spread: Marlins -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

Marlins vs. Reds Promo Codes

DRAFTKINGS MLB Promo
Bet $5, Win $150 BONUS BETS
BET NOW!
CAESARS MLB Promo
Get Up To $1,500 in Bet Credits
BET NOW!
FANDUEL MLB Promo
Bet $5 Get $200
BET NOW!
BETMGM MLB Promo
$1K First Bet Offer
BET NOW!

Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 13, 2023
Time: 1:10 PM ET
TV: BSFL

Exclusive Apple TV Friday Night Baseball Pass
Sign Up to Watch Friday Night Baseball Exclusive on Apple TV+
Watch 7 Days For Free

Who Will Win Marlins vs. Reds?

Marlins and Reds Betting Trends

The Marlins have won 50% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (7-7).

Miami has ynot played as moneyline favorites of -234 or shorter.

The Reds have won 11, or 40.7%, of the 27 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

This season, Cincinnati has been at least a +193 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.

The Marlins have played in 38 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 17 times (17-20-1).

The Reds and their opponents have hit the over in 20 of their 38 games with a total this season.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins are the second-lowest scoring team in MLB action averaging 3.4 runs per game (133 total).

Miami ranks 24th in MLB action with 35 total home runs.

The Marlins’ .245 batting average ranks 15th in MLB.

Miami’s 8.6 strikeouts per game rank 14th in baseball.

The Marlins pitching staff ranks eighth in the majors with a collective 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings.

Miami’s 4.64 team ERA ranks 22nd across all MLB pitching staffs.

Reds Stats & Insights

The Reds have scored 164 runs (4.3 per game) this season, which ranks 21st in MLB.

Cincinnati’s 31 home runs rank 27th in MLB this season.

The Reds rank 14th in MLB with a .247 team batting average.

Cincinnati ranks 23rd in strikeouts per game (9.2) among MLB offenses.

The Reds have a 9.2 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, ninth-best in baseball.

Cincinnati pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.93 ERA this year, which ranks 26th in MLB.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

Alcantara gets the start for the Marlins, his eighth of the season. He is 1-3 with a 4.74 ERA and 40 strikeouts in 43 2/3 innings pitched.

Luis Arraez leads Miami in batting average (.386) this season.

Jorge Soler is batting .237 this season with a team-high nine home runs and 20 RBI.

Jazz Chisholm is slashing .227/.286/.383 this season for the Marlins.

Jon Berti has 30 hits and an OBP of .317 to go with a slugging percentage of .363 this season.

Reds Key Players to Watch

Law will take to the mound for the Reds, his second start of the season.

Jonathan India is batting .300 with 12 doubles, three home runs and 17 walks.

Fraley’s 24 runs batted in lead his team.

Spencer Steer has a team-high five homers.

TJ Friedl’s .306 batting average is a team-high mark.

Marlins and Reds Injuries

Marlins: Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Back), Garrett Cooper: 10 Day IL (Ear infection), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)

Reds: Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Reiver Sanmartin: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Fernando Cruz: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Connor Overton: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Santillan: 60 Day IL (Back), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Nick Lodolo: day-to-day (Foot/calf), TJ Friedl: day-to-day (Oblique)