Mets vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 14, 2023

The New York Mets (19-20) are favorites (-201) on the moneyline when they square off against the Washington Nationals (16-22) Sunday at 12:35 PM ET, live on MASN.

Joey Lucchesi starts for New York while Trevor Williams is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

• Mets odds to win: -201
• Nationals odds to win: +169
• Spread: Mets -1.5
• Total: 9 runs

Mets vs. Nationals Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Sunday, May 14, 2023
• Time: 12:35 PM ET
• TV: MASN

Who Will Win Mets vs. Nationals?

Mets and Nationals Betting Trends

The Mets have been the moneyline favorite 29 total times this season. They’ve gone 15-14 in those games.

New York has a record of 3-5 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -201 or shorter (37.5% winning percentage).

This season, the Nationals have been the underdog 38 times and won 16, or 42.1%, of those games.

Washington is 7-7 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +169 or more on the moneyline.

In the 39 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Mets, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 16 times (16-22-1).

So far this season, the Nationals and their opponents have hit the over in 15 of their 38 games with a total.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets rank 24th in runs scored with 161, 4.1 per game.

New York is 20th in MLB action with 41 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Mets rank 21st in the majors with a .237 batting average.

New York’s batters strike out 7.6 times per game, the third-fewest strikeouts in the majors.

The Mets pitching staff is 13th in the majors with a collective 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

New York’s 4.63 team ERA ranks 20th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Nationals Stats & Insights

The Nationals have scored the 27th-most runs in the league this season with just 151 (four per game).

Washington has hit just 24 homers this season, which ranks 29th in the majors.

The Nationals have a team batting average of .255 this season, which ranks 11th among MLB teams.

Washington has the fewest strikeouts in MLB, fanning only seven times per game on average.

The Nationals have a 7.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 28th in baseball.

Washington pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.40 ERA this year, which ranks 17th in MLB.

Mets Key Players to Watch

Lucchesi (1-0) gets the starting nod for the Mets in his fifth start of the season. He’s put together a 4.43 ERA in 20 1/3 innings pitched, with 17 strikeouts.

Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs (13) and runs batted in (31) this season while batting .234.

Brandon Nimmo’s batting average of .317 leads all New York hitters this season.

Francisco Lindor has 33 hits this season and a slash line of .223/.314/.426.

Jeff McNeil is batting .273 with an OBP of .369 and a slugging percentage of .374 this season.

Nationals Key Players to Watch

Williams (1-1) will take the mound for the Nationals, his eighth start of the season.

Luis Garcia has five doubles, a triple, three home runs and 10 walks while hitting .258.

Lane Thomas has hit four home runs with 18 RBI. Both pace his team.

Alex Call is hitting .238 with five doubles, three home runs and 17 walks.

Keibert Ruiz has five doubles, three home runs and 10 walks while batting .248.

Mets and Nationals Injuries

Mets: Tim Locastro: 10 Day IL (Back), Tomás Nido: 10 Day IL (Eye), Jimmy Yacabonis: 15 Day IL (Quadricep), Brooks Raley: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Carlos Carrasco: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Omar Narváez: 60 Day IL (Calf), Stephen Ridings: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Elieser Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib), Max Scherzer: day-to-day (Neck)

Nationals: Corey Dickerson: 10 Day IL (Calf), Victor Robles: 10 Day IL (Back), Israel Pineda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Chad Kuhl: 15 Day IL (Foot), Stephen Strasburg: 60 Day IL (Ribs/shoulder), Tanner Rainey: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Victor Arano: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Mets 4

Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

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