Orioles vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 13, 2023

May 13, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

After hitting for the cycle in his last outing, Cedric Mullins will look to stay hot for the Baltimore Orioles (25-13) in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates (21-18). The Orioles are -176 favorites for the game, which gets underway from Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:05 PM ET on Saturday, live on MASN2.

Baltimore’s Tyler Wells and Pittsburgh’s Roansy Contreras have been named the starters for this contest.

Orioles vs. Pirates Odds

Orioles odds to win: -176
Pirates odds to win: +149
Spread: Orioles -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 13, 2023
Time: 7:05 PM ET
TV: MASN2

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Who Will Win Orioles vs. Pirates?

Orioles and Pirates Betting Trends

The Orioles have been favored on the moneyline 20 total times this season. They’ve finished 16-4 in those games.

Baltimore has a record of 7-1 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -176 or shorter (87.5% winning percentage).

This season, the Pirates have been the underdog 28 times and won 13, or 46.4%, of those games.

This season, Pittsburgh has won two of its five games when it’s the underdog by at least +149 on the moneyline.

The Orioles have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 20 times this season for a 20-16-2 record against the over/under.

The Pirates’ games have gone over the total in 18 of their 39 chances.

Orioles Stats & Insights

The Orioles are the eighth-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 5.2 runs per game (198 total).

Baltimore averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank 14th in baseball with 43 total home runs .

The Orioles’ .253 batting average ranks 13th in MLB.

Baltimore strikes out 8.2 times per game, the seventh-fewest mark in baseball.

The nine strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Orioles pitching staff ranks 10th in the majors.

Baltimore has the 15th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.19).

Pirates Stats & Insights

The Pirates rank 13th in the majors with 172 total runs scored this season.

Pittsburgh has hit 40 homers this season, which ranks 22nd in the majors.

The Pirates have a team batting average of .245 this season, which ranks 16th among MLB teams.

Pittsburgh ranks 12th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.4 Ks per contest.

The Pirates have an 8.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 17th in the majors.

Pittsburgh has pitched to a 3.92 ERA this season, which ranks 11th in baseball.

Orioles Key Players to Watch

The Orioles will send Wells (2-1) to make his seventh start of the season. He is 2-1 with a 3.15 ERA and 31 strikeouts through 40 2/3 innings pitched.

Mullins is batting .268 for Baltimore with a team-high 31 RBI.

Adley Rutschman is batting .281 with an OBP of .407 and a slugging percentage of .432 this season.

Ryan Mountcastle is slugging .484 this season, with a team-high eight home runs. He’s also collected 27 RBI.

Jorge Mateo has 29 hits and an OBP of .316 to go with a slugging percentage of .495 this season.

Pirates Key Players to Watch

The Pirates will send Contreras (3-3) to the mound for his eighth start this season.

Bryan Reynolds has accumulated a team-best batting average of .296 while leading the Pirates in runs batted in (23).

Andrew McCutchen has hit seven home runs to pace his team.

Carlos Santana is hitting .246 with 11 doubles, two home runs and 18 walks.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has nine doubles, two triples, a home run and 14 walks while batting .241.

Orioles and Pirates Injuries

Orioles: Ramón Urías: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Mychal Givens: 15 Day IL (Knee), Dillon Tate: 15 Day IL (Elbow), John Means: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Pirates: Vince Velásquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rob Zastryzny: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Wil Crowe: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Oneil Cruz: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Ji-Man Choi: 60 Day IL (Achilles), Jarlin García: 60 Day IL (Arm), Max Kranick: 60 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 60 Day IL (Elbow)