Red Sox vs. Cardinals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 13, 2023

May 13, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The St. Louis Cardinals (14-25) and Nolan Arenado, coming off a four-hit game, are underdogs (+115) on the moneyline and will look to upset the Boston Red Sox (22-17) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET on NESN.

Boston’s Chris Sale gets the start, and he’ll go against St. Louis’ Steven Matz.

Red Sox vs. Cardinals Odds

Red Sox odds to win: -135
Cardinals odds to win: +115
Spread: Red Sox -1.5
Total: 10.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 13, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: NESN

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Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Cardinals?

Red Sox and Cardinals Betting Trends

The Red Sox have gone 9-6 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 60% of those games).

Boston has a 4-3 record (winning 57.1% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -135 or shorter.

This season, the Cardinals have been the underdog 18 times and won five, or 27.8%, of those games.

St. Louis has a record of 2-6 when it’s set as an underdog of +115 or more by sportsbooks this season.

In the 39 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Red Sox, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 26 times (26-12-1).

The Cardinals’ games have gone over the total in 20 of their 39 chances.

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox are the third-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 5.7 runs per game (222 total).

Boston is sixth-best in MLB play with 51 total home runs.

The Red Sox’s .269 batting average is fourth-best in the majors.

Boston’s batters strike out 7.9 times per game, the sixth-fewest strikeouts in MLB.

The 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Red Sox pitching staff ranks 17th in MLB.

Boston has the 27th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.97).

Cardinals Stats & Insights

The Cardinals have scored 177 runs (4.5 per game) this season, which ranks 11th in MLB.

St. Louis’ 48 home runs rank ninth in Major League Baseball.

The Cardinals’ .260 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking seventh in MLB.

St. Louis is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking 10th with an average of 8.2 strikeouts per game.

The Cardinals average the 12th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.9) in the league this season.

St. Louis pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.60 ERA this year, which ranks 20th in MLB.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

Sale gets the start for the Red Sox, his eighth of the season. He is 3-2 with a 6.37 ERA and 45 strikeouts through 35 1/3 innings pitched.

Alex Verdugo has been key for Boston with five home runs, 18 RBI and a batting average of .305 this season.

Rafael Devers leads Boston in home runs (11) and runs batted in (35) this season while batting .248.

Masataka Yoshida’s batting average of .306 leads all Boston hitters this season.

Justin Turner has collected 39 hits this season and has an OBP of .373. He’s slugging .392 on the year.

Cardinals Key Players to Watch

The Cardinals’ Matz (0-4) will make his eighth start of the season.

Paul Goldschmidt paces the Cardinals with a team-high batting average of .316.

Nolan Gorman’s nine home runs and 26 runs batted in are both team-highs.

Tommy Edman has five doubles, a triple, five home runs and 11 walks while hitting .237.

Arenado has four doubles, a triple, four home runs and 11 walks while hitting .252.

Red Sox and Cardinals Injuries

Red Sox: Yu Chang: 10 Day IL (Hand), Christian Arroyo: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Kutter Crawford: 15 Day IL (Knee), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Zack Kelly: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adam Duvall: 60 Day IL (Wrist), Wyatt Mills: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee)

Cardinals: Tyler O’Neill: 10 Day IL (Back), Jake Woodford: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Packy Naughton: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Wilking Rodriguez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)