Blue Jays vs. Braves Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 14, 2023

The Atlanta Braves (25-14) are the underdogs on the moneyline (-102) in Sunday’s contest against the Toronto Blue Jays (23-16). The game starts at 1:37 PM ET on MLB Network. The Braves are favored against the spread in this one (1.5) with +155 odds.

Toronto’s Yusei Kikuchi gets the start, and he’ll go against Atlanta’s Collin McHugh.

Blue Jays vs. Braves Odds

• Blue Jays odds to win: -117
• Braves odds to win: -102
• Spread: Braves -1.5
• Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

• Date: Sunday, May 14, 2023
• Time: 1:37 PM ET
• TV: MLB Network

Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Braves?

Blue Jays and Braves Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have won 63% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (17-10).

Toronto has a 15-9 record (winning 62.5% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -117 or shorter.

The Braves have won four of the five games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Atlanta has a record of 3-1 when it’s set as an underdog of -102 or more by oddsmakers this season.

The Blue Jays have had an over/under set by bookmakers 39 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 17 of those games (17-20-2).

So far this season, the Braves and their opponents have hit the over in 22 of their 39 games with a total.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays have the No. 10 offense in MLB action scoring 4.8 runs per game (186 total runs).

Toronto is 16th in MLB play with 43 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Blue Jays have the ninth-best batting average in the majors (.256).

Toronto strikes out 8.3 times per game to rank eighth in baseball.

The Blue Jays pitching staff ranks seventh in the majors with a collective 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings.

Toronto’s 3.93 team ERA ranks 12th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves have scored the seventh-most runs in the league this season with 201.

Atlanta’s 61 home runs rank third in Major League Baseball.

The Braves have a team batting average of .256 this season, which ranks ninth among MLB teams.

Atlanta ranks 18th in strikeouts per game (nine) among MLB offenses.

The Braves have a 9.8 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, second-best in baseball.

Atlanta has the sixth-best ERA (3.56) in the majors this season.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

The Blue Jays will send Kikuchi (5-0) out for his eighth start of the season. He is 5-0 with a 3.35 ERA and 33 strikeouts in 37 2/3 innings pitched.

Bo Bichette is batting .325 this season with a team-high eight home runs and 26 RBI.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has collected 45 hits this season and has an OBP of .392. He’s slugging .528 on the year.

Matt Chapman’s batting average of .326 leads all Toronto hitters this season.

Daulton Varsho has collected 32 hits this season and has an OBP of .302. He’s slugging .404 on the year.

Braves Key Players to Watch

McHugh has been named the starter for the Braves and will make his first start this season.

Ronald Acuna Jr. leads the Braves with a team-high batting average of .342.

Sean Murphy has totaled 32 runs batted in to lead his team.

Matt Olson has racked up a team-high 11 home runs.

Ozzie Albies is batting .261 with seven doubles, a triple, nine home runs and seven walks.

Blue Jays and Braves Injuries

Blue Jays: Zach Pop: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Adam Cimber: 15 Day IL (Rhomboid), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Braves: Ehire Adrianza: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Max Fried: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Kyle Wright: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Blue Jays vs. Braves Prediction

Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Braves 4

Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs

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