Brewers vs. Royals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 14, 2023

May 14, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Milwaukee Brewers (22-17) will look to Christian Yelich, who is coming off a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Kansas City Royals (12-29) Sunday at 2:10 PM ET on BSWI. The Brewers are -169 favorites for the contest, according to sportsbooks.

Colin Rea will get the ball for Milwaukee while Kansas City will counter with Jordan Lyles.

Brewers vs. Royals Odds

Brewers odds to win: -169
Royals odds to win: +144
Spread: Brewers -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, May 14, 2023
Time: 2:10 PM ET
TV: BSWI

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Who Will Win Brewers vs. Royals?

Brewers and Royals Betting Trends

The Brewers have been favored on the moneyline 24 total times this season. They’ve gone 14-10 in those games.

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -169 or shorter, Milwaukee has a 3-2 record (winning 60% of its games).

The Royals have been underdogs in 36 games this season and won 11 (30.6%) of those contests.

Kansas City has entered 19 games this season as the underdog by +144 or more and is 3-16 in those contests.

The Brewers have combined with opponents to go over the total 17 times this season for a 17-21-1 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Royals have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 19 of 40 chances this season.

Brewers Stats & Insights

The Brewers rank 20th in runs scored with 170, 4.4 per game.

Milwaukee averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank 12th in baseball with 46 total home runs .

The Brewers have the 16th-ranked batting average in the majors (.242).

Milwaukee’s 9.1 strikeouts per game rank 21st in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Brewers has a collective 7.9 K/9, the fifth-worst in the majors.

Milwaukee has the seventh-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.60).

Royals Stats & Insights

The Royals have scored the 22nd-most runs in the league this season with 167 (4.1 per game).

Kansas City has hit 40 homers this season, which ranks 22nd in the majors.

The Royals have a team batting average of .236 this season, which ranks 22nd among MLB teams.

Kansas City ranks 22nd with an average of 8.7 strikeouts per game.

The Royals average the 15th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.6) in the league this season.

Kansas City has the 28th-ranked ERA (5.32) in the majors this season.

Brewers Key Players to Watch

Rea (0-3) takes the mound for the Brewers in his sixth start of the season. He’s put together a 4.94 ERA in 27 1/3 innings pitched, with 22 strikeouts.

Yelich is batting .255 with six home runs and 21 RBI for Milwaukee this season.

Rowdy Tellez is batting .244 this season with a team-high 10 home runs and 23 RBI.

Willy Adames leads Milwaukee in RBI with 23 while batting .225 with seven home runs.

Brian Anderson has 33 hits and an OBP of .329 to go with a slugging percentage of .414 this season.

Royals Key Players to Watch

The Royals will send Lyles (0-6) to the mound for his ninth start this season.

Vinnie Pasquantino is hitting .276 with 13 doubles, seven home runs and 20 walks.

Salvador Perez has hit eight home runs with 22 runs batted in while hitting .295. Those stats all pace his team.

Bobby Witt Jr. has six doubles, four triples, six home runs and nine walks while hitting .228.

Edward Olivares is hitting .237 with six doubles, two triples, three home runs and nine walks.

Brewers and Royals Injuries

Brewers: Brandon Woodruff: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Matt Bush: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Urías: 60 Day IL (Hamstring), Garrett Mitchell: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jason Alexander: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Wilson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Aaron Ashby: 60 Day IL (Labrum)

Royals: Kyle Isbel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Nicky Lopez: 10 Day IL (Appendicitis), Drew Waters: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Ryan Yarbrough: 15 Day IL (Head), Daniel Lynch: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Kris Bubic: 60 Day IL (Flexor), Jake Brentz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Angel Zerpa: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Diego Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)