Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 14, 2023

May 14, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Diego Padres (19-21 look to avoid the sweep when they visit the Los Angeles Dodgers (25-15) in the final game of a three-game set. Sportsbooks have listed the Dodgers as -159 favorites, while the Padres are +136 underdogs to pick up a win.

Los Angeles’ Tony Gonsolin and San Diego’s Ryan Weathers have been named the starters for this contest.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds

Dodgers odds to win: -159
Padres odds to win: +136
Spread: Dodgers -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, May 14, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: SportsNet LA

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Who Will Win Dodgers vs. Padres?

Dodgers and Padres Betting Trends

The Dodgers have gone 23-13 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 63.9% of those games).

Los Angeles has gone 7-7 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -159 or shorter (50% winning percentage).

This season, the Padres have won eight out of the 18 games, or 44.4%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

San Diego has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +136 moneyline set for this game.

The Dodgers have combined with opponents to go over the total 21 times this season for a 21-18-1 record against the over/under.

The Padres and their opponents have hit the over in 13 of their 40 games with a total this season.

Dodgers Stats & Insights

The Dodgers score the fourth-most runs in baseball (216 total, 5.4 per game).

Los Angeles is second in MLB play with 67 home runs. They average 1.7 per game.

The Dodgers rank 24th in MLB with a .232 batting average.

Los Angeles’ hitters strike out 9.2 times per game, the 26th-most in MLB.

The Dodgers pitching staff ranks 23rd in MLB with a collective 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Los Angeles has a 3.99 team ERA that ranks 13th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres rank 24th in the majors with 161 total runs scored this season.

San Diego’s 45 home runs rank 14th in Major League Baseball.

The Padres have a team batting average of just .228 this season, which ranks 27th among MLB teams.

San Diego ranks 22nd in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.9 Ks per contest.

The Padres average the 19th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.5) in the league this season.

San Diego pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.05 ERA this year, which ranks 14th in MLB.

Dodgers Key Players to Watch

The Dodgers will send Gonsolin (0-1) to the mound for his fourth start of the season. He is 0-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 10 strikeouts through 14 2/3 innings pitched.

Freddie Freeman leads Los Angeles with a batting average of .310. He’s also hit seven home runs with 20 RBI.

Mookie Betts has collected 36 hits this season and has an OBP of .355. He’s slugging .493 on the year.

Will Smith has 28 hits this season and a slash line of .322/.417/.598.

Max Muncy leads Los Angeles in home runs (12) and runs batted in (29) this season while batting .203.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Weathers gets the nod for the Padres and will make his first start of the season.

Juan Soto leads the Padres with seven home runs and 20 runs batted in.

Xander Bogaerts’ .265 batting average is a team-high mark.

Jake Cronenworth is batting .222 with eight doubles, two triples, three home runs and 21 walks.

Manny Machado has seven doubles, five home runs and 10 walks while hitting .237.

Dodgers and Padres Injuries

Dodgers: Michael Grove: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jimmy Nelson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Daniel Hudson: 60 Day IL (Knee), Walker Buehler: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Álex Reyes: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), J.P. Feyereisen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Blake Treinen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ryan Pepiot: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Gavin Lux: 60 Day IL (Knee)

Padres: Jose Azocar: 10 Day IL (Elbow inflammation), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)