Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 14, 2023

May 14, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Dominic Fletcher leads the Arizona Diamondbacks (22-18) into Sunday’s matchup with the San Francisco Giants (17-22) on a two-game homer streak. His Diamondbacks are underdogs for the contest, however, with sportsbooks naming the Giants as -138 moneyline favorites. The game starts at 4:10 PM ET from Chase Field, live on BSAZ.

San Francisco’s Logan Webb and Arizona’s Brandon Pfaadt have been named the starters for this contest.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Giants odds to win: -138
Diamondbacks odds to win: +117
Spread: Giants -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, May 14, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: BSAZ

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Who Will Win Giants vs. Diamondbacks?

Giants and Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Giants have an 8-10 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 44.4% of those games).

San Francisco has a 4-8 record (winning only 33.3% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -138 or shorter.

This season, the Diamondbacks have been the underdog 25 times and won 13, or 52%, of those games.

Arizona has a record of 7-10, a 41.2% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +117 or more by sportsbooks this season.

In the 39 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Giants, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 19 times (19-19-1).

The Diamondbacks and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of their 40 opportunities.

Giants Stats & Insights

The Giants have the No. 16 offense in MLB action scoring 4.4 runs per game (172 total runs).

San Francisco averages 1.6 home runs per game to rank third in MLB play with 61 total home runs.

The Giants rank 16th in the majors with a .242 batting average.

San Francisco’s 9.6 strikeouts per game are the fourth-most in the majors.

The 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Giants pitching staff ranks 15th in the majors.

San Francisco has a 4.67 team ERA that ranks 21st among all MLB pitching staffs.

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

The Diamondbacks have scored 207 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB.

Arizona’s 42 home runs rank 17th in Major League Baseball.

The Diamondbacks’ .273 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking second in MLB.

Arizona is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking fourth with an average of 7.5 strikeouts per game.

The Diamondbacks strike out 8.1 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 24th in MLB.

Arizona has pitched to a 4.83 ERA this season, which ranks 25th in baseball.

Giants Key Players to Watch

The Giants will send Webb (3-5) out to make his ninth start of the season. He is 3-5 with a 3.98 ERA and 55 strikeouts in 52 2/3 innings pitched.

Thairo Estrada leads San Francisco in batting average (.309) this season while adding six home runs and 14 RBI.

LaMonte Wade Jr’s seven home runs are most among San Francisco batters. He’s driven in 14 runs this season while slugging .528.

J.D. Davis leads San Francisco in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (22) this season while batting .300.

Wilmer Flores has 25 hits and an OBP of .303 to go with a slugging percentage of .475 this season.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

Pfaadt heads to the mound for the Diamondbacks to make his third start of the season, seeking his first win.

Christian Walker has put up a team-high nine home runs and 28 runs batted in.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s .310 batting average paces his team.

Ketel Marte has eight doubles, three triples, five home runs and 12 walks while hitting .270.

Corbin Carroll is batting .291 with 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 12 walks.

Giants and Diamondbacks Injuries

Giants: Mike Yastrzemski: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Austin Slater: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Roberto Pérez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luke Jackson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis González: 60 Day IL (Back), Thomas Szapucki: 60 Day IL (Left arm), Anthony DeSclafani: day-to-day (Toe), Joc Pederson: day-to-day (Hand)

Diamondbacks: Kyle Lewis: 10 Day IL (Illness), Carson Kelly: 10 Day IL (Forearm), Joe Mantiply: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Zach Davies: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Cole Sulser: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)