Orioles vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 14, 2023

The Baltimore Orioles (26-13) are favored on the moneyline (-111) in Sunday’s contest versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (21-19). Game time is at 1:35 PM ET on MASN2. The Pirates, with +157 odds, are favored against the spread (1.5).

Baltimore’s Kyle Gibson and Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller have been named the starters for this contest.

Orioles vs. Pirates Odds

• Orioles odds to win: -111
• Pirates odds to win: -108
• Spread: Pirates -1.5
• Total: 8 runs

Orioles vs. Pirates Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Sunday, May 14, 2023
• Time: 1:35 PM ET
• TV: MASN2

Who Will Win Orioles vs. Pirates?

Orioles and Pirates Betting Trends

The Orioles have put together a 17-4 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 81% of those games).

Baltimore has a 17-4 record (winning 81% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -111 or shorter.

The Pirates have been underdogs in 29 games this season and won 13 (44.8%) of those contests.

Pittsburgh has a record of 11-16, a 40.7% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of -108 or more by sportsbooks this season.

The Orioles have played in 39 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 20 times (20-17-2).

Games involving the Pirates have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 18 of 40 chances this season.

Orioles Stats & Insights

The Orioles are the eighth-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 5.1 runs per game (200 total).

Baltimore averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank 14th in baseball with 45 total home runs .

The Orioles rank 13th in the majors with a .252 batting average.

Baltimore’s hitters strike out eight times per game, the fifth-lowest average in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Orioles has a collective 9.1 K/9, the 10th-best in the majors.

Baltimore has a 4.08 team ERA that ranks 15th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Pirates Stats & Insights

The Pirates have scored 172 runs (4.3 per game) this season, which ranks 16th in MLB.

Pittsburgh has hit 40 homers this season, which ranks 22nd in the majors.

The Pirates’ .241 batting average ranks 18th in the league this season.

Pittsburgh ranks 12th in strikeouts per game (8.5) among MLB offenses.

The Pirates average the 19th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.5) in the league this season.

Pittsburgh pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.88 ERA this year, which ranks 11th in MLB.

Orioles Key Players to Watch

Gibson gets the start for the Orioles, his ninth of the season. He is 4-2 with a 4.40 ERA and 31 strikeouts in 47 2/3 innings pitched.

Cedric Mullins leads Baltimore in runs batted in with 31 and has a batting average of .261.

Adley Rutschman has collected 41 hits this season and has an OBP of .415. He’s slugging .458 on the year.

Ryan Mountcastle leads Baltimore in home runs with eight. He’s driven in 27 runs and is slugging .476.

Jorge Mateo has 29 hits and an OBP of .308 to go with a slugging percentage of .482 this season.

Pirates Key Players to Watch

Keller (4-1) will take to the mound for the Pirates and make his ninth start of the season.

Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates in runs batted in (23) and has a team-best batting average of .295.

Andrew McCutchen has hit seven home runs to lead his team.

Carlos Santana is batting .248 with 11 doubles, two home runs and 19 walks.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .234 with nine doubles, two triples, a home run and 14 walks.

Orioles and Pirates Injuries

Orioles: Ramón Urías: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Mychal Givens: 15 Day IL (Knee), Dillon Tate: 15 Day IL (Elbow), John Means: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Pirates: Vince Velásquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rob Zastryzny: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Ji-Man Choi: 60 Day IL (Achilles), Wil Crowe: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Oneil Cruz: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Jarlin García: 60 Day IL (Arm), Max Kranick: 60 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Orioles vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Pirates 4

Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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