Rays vs. Yankees Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 14, 2023

May 14, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The New York Yankees (23-18) will lean on Aaron Judge, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays (30-11) on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET on YES. The Yankees are +116 underdogs for the contest, according to oddsmakers.

Tampa Bay’s Zach Eflin gets the start, and he’ll go against New York’s Clarke Schmidt.

Rays vs. Yankees Odds

Rays odds to win: -136
Yankees odds to win: +116
Spread: Rays -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, May 14, 2023
Time: 1:35 PM ET
TV: YES

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Who Will Win Rays vs. Yankees?

Rays and Yankees Betting Trends

The Rays have a 28-9 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 75.7% of those games).

Tampa Bay has a 26-5 record (winning 83.9% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -136 or shorter.

The Yankees have been underdogs in 10 games this season and won three (30%) of those contests.

New York is 2-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +116 or more on the moneyline.

The Rays have played in 41 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 22 times (22-16-3).

The Yankees’ games have gone over the total in 18 of their 41 chances.

Rays Stats & Insights

The Rays are the highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 6.1 runs per game (252 total).

The Tampa Bay Rays lead baseball with 80 total home runs, averaging two per game.

The Rays’ .276 batting average leads MLB.

Tampa Bay strikes out 8.4 times per game, the No. 16 average in MLB.

The Rays pitching staff ranks 19th in MLB with a collective 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Tampa Bay’s 3.17 team ERA leads all league pitching staffs.

Yankees Stats & Insights

The Yankees rank 11th in the majors with 185 total runs scored this season.

New York ranks fifth in Major League Baseball with 57 home runs.

The Yankees rank 22nd in MLB with a .236 team batting average.

New York has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the eighth-best strikeout rate (7.9 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Yankees average 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, sixth-most in the league.

New York pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.82 ERA this year, 10th-best in baseball.

Rays Key Players to Watch

Eflin gets the start for the Rays, his seventh of the season. He is 4-1 with a 2.91 ERA and 35 strikeouts in 34 2/3 innings pitched.

Yandy Diaz leads Tampa Bay in home runs this season with 10 while driving in 24 runs.

Wander Franco is batting .304 with an OBP of .358 and a slugging percentage of .532 this season.

Randy Arozarena leads Tampa Bay in home runs with 10, runs batted in with 34 and his batting average of .329 is also best on his team.

Josh Lowe has 34 hits and an OBP of .371 to go with a slugging percentage of .645 this season.

Yankees Key Players to Watch

Schmidt (1-3) will take the mound for the Yankees, his ninth start of the season.

Gleyber Torres is hitting .246 with eight doubles, a triple, six home runs and 22 walks.

Anthony Rizzo has hit eight home runs with 20 RBI while batting .311. Those stats all lead his team.

Judge leads the Yankees with eight home runs and 20 runs batted in.

DJ LeMahieu is hitting .269 with seven doubles, a triple, five home runs and 13 walks.

Rays and Yankees Injuries

Rays: Pete Fairbanks: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Tyler Glasnow: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Drew Rasmussen: 60 Day IL (Flexor strain), Jeffrey Springs: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Cleavinger: 60 Day IL (Knee), Shane Baz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shawn Armstrong: 60 Day IL (Neck), Andrew Kittredge: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Yankees: Giancarlo Stanton: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Oswald Peraza: 10 Day IL (Ankle), Josh Donaldson: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Carlos Rodón: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Severino: 15 Day IL (Lat), Jonathan Loaisiga: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Lou Trivino: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Gil: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Frankie Montás: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tommy Kahnle: 60 Day IL (Biceps), Aaron Hicks: day-to-day (Hip)