Mets vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, May 15, 2023

May 15, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The New York Mets (20-21) are favorites (-153) on the moneyline when they take on the Washington Nationals (17-23) Monday at 4:05 PM ET, live on MASN2.

David Peterson will get the ball for New York while Washington will counter with Patrick Corbin.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

Mets odds to win: -153
Nationals odds to win: +132
Spread: Mets -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, May 15, 2023
Time: 4:05 PM ET
TV: MASN2

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Who Will Win Mets vs. Nationals?

Mets and Nationals Betting Trends

The Mets are 16-14 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 53.3% of those games).

When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -153 or shorter, New York has a 9-9 record (winning 50% of its games).

This season, the Nationals have been the underdog 39 times and won 16, or 41%, of those games.

Washington has a record of 12-15, a 44.4% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +132 or more by oddsmakers this season.

The Mets have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 40 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 17 of those games (17-22-1).

The Nationals and their opponents have hit the over in 16 of their 39 games with a total this season.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets have the No. 22 offense in baseball scoring 4.2 runs per game (171 total runs).

New York is 21st in MLB play with 41 home runs. They average one per game.

The Mets have the 18th-ranked batting average in the league (.239).

New York strikes out 7.6 times per game to rank fourth in baseball.

The Mets pitching staff is 13th in MLB with a collective 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

New York has a 4.54 team ERA that ranks 20th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Nationals Stats & Insights

The Nationals have scored the 27th-most runs in the league this season with just 156 (3.9 per game).

Washington has hit just 25 homers this season, which ranks 29th in the majors.

The Nationals have a team batting average of .256 this season, which ranks 10th among MLB teams.

Washington has the fewest strikeouts in MLB, fanning only seven times per game on average.

The Nationals have a 7.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 28th in baseball.

Washington pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.43 ERA this year, which ranks 18th in MLB.

Mets Key Players to Watch

The Mets are sending Peterson (1-5) out for his eighth start of the season. He is 1-5 with a 7.68 ERA and 40 strikeouts through 34 2/3 innings pitched.

Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs (13) and runs batted in (31) this season while batting .232.

Brandon Nimmo leads New York in batting with a .320 average while slugging three homers and driving in 17 runs.

Francisco Lindor is among the top hitters for New York with a .223 average, six homers and 31 RBI.

Jeff McNeil has collected 39 hits this season and has an OBP of .353. He’s slugging .358 on the year.

Nationals Key Players to Watch

The Nationals will hand the ball to Corbin (1-5) for his ninth start of the season.

Luis Garcia has five doubles, a triple, three home runs and 10 walks while hitting .265.

Lane Thomas has shown off his power as he leads his team with four home runs.

Keibert Ruiz is hitting .256 with six doubles, three home runs and 10 walks.

Alex Call is batting .235 with five doubles, three home runs and 19 walks.

Mets and Nationals Injuries

Mets: Tomás Nido: 10 Day IL (Eye), Tim Locastro: 10 Day IL (Back), Jimmy Yacabonis: 15 Day IL (Quadricep), Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Carlos Carrasco: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Omar Narváez: 60 Day IL (Calf), Stephen Ridings: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Elieser Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)

Nationals: Victor Robles: 10 Day IL (Back), Israel Pineda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Chad Kuhl: 15 Day IL (Foot), Stephen Strasburg: 60 Day IL (Ribs/shoulder), Tanner Rainey: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Victor Arano: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)