Padres vs. Royals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, May 15, 2023

May 15, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

One team will end a losing skid when the 19-22 San Diego Padres (five-game losing streak) and the 12-30 Kansas City Royals (three-game losing streak) meet Monday at 9:40 PM ET. The Padres have been set as -236 favorites by sportsbooks for the contest at PETCO Park.

Michael Wacha will get the ball for San Diego while Kansas City will counter with Brad Keller.

Padres vs. Royals Odds

Padres odds to win: -236
Royals odds to win: +196
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, May 15, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: BSSD

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Royals?

Padres and Royals Betting Trends

The Padres have gone 11-11 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).

San Diego has played as moneyline favorites of -236 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.

This season, the Royals have been the underdog 37 times and won 11, or 29.7%, of those games.

Kansas City has a record of 1-5 in games where sportsbooks have it as underdogs of at least +196 on the moneyline.

The Padres have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 13 times this season for a 13-25-3 record against the over/under.

The Royals and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 20 of their 41 opportunities.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres score the fifth-fewest runs in baseball (161 total, 3.9 per game).

San Diego averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank 14th in MLB action with 45 total home runs .

The Padres rank 29th in MLB with a .225 batting average.

San Diego strikes out 8.9 times per game, the No. 23 average in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Padres has a collective 8.4 K/9, which ranks 22nd in MLB.

San Diego has a 4.06 team ERA that ranks 14th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Royals Stats & Insights

The Royals have scored 173 runs (4.1 per game) this season, which ranks 20th in MLB.

Kansas City’s 43 home runs rank 18th in Major League Baseball.

The Royals have a team batting average of .237 this season, which ranks 22nd among MLB teams.

Kansas City ranks 22nd in strikeouts per game (8.7) among MLB offenses.

The Royals average the 13th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.7) in the league this season.

Kansas City has the 28th-ranked ERA (5.43) in the majors this season.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Wacha (3-1 with a 4.82 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 37 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Padres, his eighth of the season.

Juan Soto leads San Diego in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (20) this season while batting .255.

Xander Bogaerts is batting .265 to lead San Diego, while adding six homers and 15 runs batted in this season.

Manny Machado has collected 36 base hits, an OBP of .280 and a slugging percentage of .374 this season.

Jake Cronenworth has 30 hits and an OBP of .327 to go with a slugging percentage of .367 this season.

Royals Key Players to Watch

Keller (3-3) will take the mound for the Royals, his ninth start of the season.

Vinnie Pasquantino is hitting .269 with 13 doubles, seven home runs and 21 walks.

Bobby Witt Jr. is hitting .233 with seven doubles, four triples, seven home runs and nine walks.

Salvador Perez has a team-high .301 batting average, and paces the Royals in home runs (nine) and runs batted in (23).

Edward Olivares is batting .237 with six doubles, two triples, three home runs and nine walks.

Padres and Royals Injuries

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Jose Azocar: 10 Day IL (Elbow inflammation), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Pomeranz: 60 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

Royals: Nicky Lopez: 10 Day IL (Appendicitis), Kyle Isbel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Waters: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Ryan Yarbrough: 15 Day IL (Head), Daniel Lynch: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Kris Bubic: 60 Day IL (Flexor), Jake Brentz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Angel Zerpa: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Diego Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)