Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 16, 2023

May 16, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The New York Yankees (24-19) and Aaron Judge (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+151) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays (24-17) on Tuesday at 7:07 PM ET on SN1.

Kevin Gausman will get the ball for Toronto while New York will counter with Domingo German.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds

Blue Jays odds to win: -176
Yankees odds to win: +151
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5
Total: 8 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, May 16, 2023
Time: 7:07 PM ET
TV: SN1

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Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Yankees?

Blue Jays and Yankees Betting Trends

The Blue Jays are 18-11 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 62.1% of those games).

Toronto has gone 7-3 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -176 or shorter (70% winning percentage).

This season, the Yankees have been the underdog 12 times and won four, or 33.3%, of those games.

New York has entered three games this season as the underdog by +151 or more and is 1-2 in those contests.

The Blue Jays have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 41 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 19 of those games (19-20-2).

The Yankees and their opponents have hit the over in 20 of their 43 games with a total this season.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays rank 13th in runs scored with 196, 4.8 per game.

Toronto ranks 16th in MLB action with 44 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Blue Jays’ .257 batting average ranks 11th in the majors.

Toronto’s batters strike out 8.1 times per game, the seventh-lowest average in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Blue Jays has a collective 9.4 K/9, the fifth-best in MLB.

Toronto’s 4.01 team ERA ranks 13th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Yankees Stats & Insights

The Yankees have scored 199 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB.

New York’s 63 home runs rank fourth in Major League Baseball.

The Yankees rank 21st in MLB with a .238 team batting average.

New York has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the ninth-best strikeout rate (eight per game) among MLB offenses.

The Yankees strike out 9.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, seventh-best in MLB.

New York has pitched to a 3.85 ERA this season, which ranks ninth in baseball.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

Gausman (2-3) gets the starting nod for the Blue Jays in his ninth start of the season. He’s put together a 3.38 ERA in 48 2/3 innings pitched, with 67 strikeouts.

Bo Bichette leads Toronto in home runs with eight, runs batted in with 27 and his batting average of .324 is also best on his team.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .314 with an OBP of .389 and a slugging percentage of .523 this season.

Matt Chapman is slashing .315/.400/.537 this season for the Blue Jays.

Whit Merrifield has 35 hits and an OBP of .333 to go with a slugging percentage of .376 this season.

Yankees Key Players to Watch

The Yankees will hand the ball to German (2-3) for his ninth start of the season.

Gleyber Torres has eight doubles, a triple, six home runs and 23 walks while batting .250.

Anthony Rizzo’s .308 batting average paces his team.

Judge paces the Yankees with 10 home runs and 24 runs batted in.

Anthony Volpe is batting .217 with four doubles, two triples, six home runs and 18 walks.

Blue Jays and Yankees Injuries

Blue Jays: Zach Pop: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Adam Cimber: 15 Day IL (Rhomboid), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Yankees: Oswald Peraza: 10 Day IL (Ankle), Giancarlo Stanton: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Josh Donaldson: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Carlos Rodón: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Severino: 15 Day IL (Lat), Jonathan Loaisiga: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Lou Trivino: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Gil: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Frankie Montás: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tommy Kahnle: 60 Day IL (Biceps)