Dodgers vs. Twins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 16, 2023

May 16, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Following a two-homer game last time out, Max Muncy leads the Los Angeles Dodgers (27-15) into action as -153 favorites against the Minnesota Twins (23-19). First pitch from Dodger Stadium at 10:10 PM ET on Tuesday, live on MLB Network.

Clayton Kershaw will get the ball for Los Angeles while Minnesota will counter with Bailey Ober.

Dodgers vs. Twins Odds

Dodgers odds to win: -153
Twins odds to win: +130
Spread: Dodgers -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, May 16, 2023
Time: 10:10 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Dodgers vs. Twins?

Dodgers and Twins Betting Trends

The Dodgers are 25-13 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 65.8% of those games).

Los Angeles has a 12-9 record (winning 57.1% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -153 or shorter.

The Twins have been underdogs in 13 games this season and won three (23.1%) of those contests.

Minnesota has a record of 1-2 in games where sportsbooks have it as underdogs of at least +130 on the moneyline.

The Dodgers have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 42 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 22 of those games (22-19-1).

Games involving the Twins have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 18 of 42 chances this season.

Dodgers Stats & Insights

The Dodgers score the third-most runs in baseball (229 total, 5.5 per game).

Los Angeles ranks second-best in MLB action with 71 total home runs.

The Dodgers rank 24th in the majors with a .231 batting average.

Los Angeles strikes out 9.1 times per game to rank 25th in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Dodgers has a collective 8.5 K/9, which ranks 20th in the majors.

Los Angeles has a 3.93 team ERA that ranks 11th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins are among the highest scoring teams in the majors, ranking 10th with 199 total runs this season.

Minnesota ranks sixth in Major League Baseball with 57 home runs.

The Twins have a team batting average of just .228 this season, which ranks 26th among MLB teams.

Minnesota ranks 29th in strikeouts per game (9.5) among MLB offenses.

The Twins average 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, most in the league.

Minnesota has the fourth-best ERA (3.37) in the majors this season.

Dodgers Key Players to Watch

Kershaw gets the start for the Dodgers, his ninth of the season. He is 6-2 with a 2.36 ERA and 56 strikeouts through 49 2/3 innings pitched.

Freddie Freeman leads Los Angeles with a batting average of .311. He’s also hit seven home runs with 21 RBI.

Mookie Betts is batting .243 with an OBP of .352 and a slugging percentage of .493 this season.

Muncy leads the club in homers (14) and runs batted in (32) this season.

Will Smith has 30 hits and an OBP of .412 to go with a slugging percentage of .613 this season.

Twins Key Players to Watch

The Twins will hand the ball to Ober (2-0) for his fifth start of the season.

Byron Buxton has eight doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 21 walks while batting .227.

Carlos Correa has nine doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks while batting .201.

Joey Gallo leads the Twins with nine home runs.

Trevor Larnach’s 26 runs batted in and .233 batting average are both team-highs.

Dodgers and Twins Injuries

Dodgers: Michael Grove: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jimmy Nelson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Daniel Hudson: 60 Day IL (Knee), Walker Buehler: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Álex Reyes: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), J.P. Feyereisen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Blake Treinen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ryan Pepiot: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Gavin Lux: 60 Day IL (Knee)

Twins: Max Kepler: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Kenta Maeda: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Caleb Thielbar: 15 Day IL (Oblique strain), Jorge Alcala: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Tyler Mahle: 60 Day IL (Arm), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow)