Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 16, 2023

May 16, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Chicago White Sox (14-28) will look to Luis Robert, who has blasted homers in three straight games, to pull off an upset win over the Cleveland Guardians (19-21) Tuesday at Guaranteed Rate Field. The Guardians and Josh Naylor (who has a three-game home run streak of his own) are -123 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 8:10 PM ET live on NBCS-CHI.

Cleveland’s Shane Bieber gets the start, and he’ll go against Chicago’s Lance Lynn.

Guardians vs. White Sox Odds

Guardians odds to win: -123
White Sox odds to win: +104
Spread: Guardians -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, May 16, 2023
Time: 8:10 PM ET
TV: NBCS-CHI

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Who Will Win Guardians vs. White Sox?

Guardians and White Sox Betting Trends

The Guardians have won 12 of the 25 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (48%).

Cleveland has a record of 10-10 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -123 or shorter (50% winning percentage).

This season, the White Sox have won seven out of the 29 games, or 24.1%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

Chicago has a record of 5-19, a 20.8% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +104 or more by sportsbooks this season.

The Guardians have played in 39 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 14 times (14-24-1).

The White Sox and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of their 41 opportunities.

Guardians Stats & Insights

The Guardians are the third-lowest scoring team in MLB action averaging 3.6 runs per game (142 total).

Cleveland is last in MLB action with 23 home runs.

The Guardians’ .227 batting average ranks 29th in the majors.

Cleveland’s hitters strike out 7.5 times per game, the second-fewest strikeouts in baseball.

The Guardians pitching staff ranks 29th in the majors with a collective 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Cleveland has the sixth-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.73).

White Sox Stats & Insights

The White Sox rank 22nd in the majors with 175 total runs scored this season.

Chicago has hit 44 homers this season, which ranks 16th in the majors.

The White Sox’s .237 batting average ranks 22nd in the league this season.

Chicago ranks 14th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.4 Ks per contest.

The White Sox strike out a league-high 9.8 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff.

Chicago has the 29th-ranked ERA (5.51) in the majors this season.

Guardians Key Players to Watch

Bieber gets the start for the Guardians, his ninth of the season. He is 3-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 39 strikeouts in 51 2/3 innings pitched.

Jose Ramirez leads Cleveland in batting average (.285) this season while adding four home runs and 22 RBI.

Steven Kwan is batting .274 with an OBP of .359 and a slugging percentage of .350 this season.

Naylor leads Cleveland in home runs with six and runs batted in with 26.

Josh Bell has collected 31 hits this season and has an OBP of .339. He’s slugging .353 on the year.

White Sox Key Players to Watch

Lynn (1-5) will take the mound for the White Sox, his ninth start of the season.

Robert has put up a team-best batting average of .275, and leads the White Sox in home runs (11).

Andrew Vaughn’s 29 runs batted in pace his team.

Andrew Benintendi has 10 doubles and 13 walks while batting .267.

Yasmani Grandal is hitting .270 with nine doubles, three home runs and 12 walks.

Guardians and White Sox Injuries

Guardians: Aaron Civale: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Triston McKenzie: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Cody Morris: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

White Sox: Elvis Andrus: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Eloy Jiménez: 10 Day IL (Appendix), Billy Hamilton: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Liam Hendriks: 15 Day IL (Illness), Matt Foster: 60 Day IL (Forearm)