Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 16, 2023

May 16, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Seattle Mariners (21-20) will look to Cal Raleigh, who is coming off a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Boston Red Sox (22-20) Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET on NESN. The Mariners are -159 favorites for the contest, according to sportsbooks.

Luis Castillo will get the ball for Seattle while Boston will counter with Nick Pivetta.

Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds

Mariners odds to win: -159
Red Sox odds to win: +137
Spread: Mariners -1.5
Total: 10.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, May 16, 2023
Time: 7:10 PM ET
TV: NESN

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Who Will Win Mariners vs. Red Sox?

Mariners and Red Sox Betting Trends

The Mariners have compiled a 16-13 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 55.2% of those games).

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -159 or shorter, Seattle has a record of 8-5 (61.5%).

This season, the Red Sox have won 13 out of the 26 games, or 50%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

Boston has a record of 5-3 when it’s set as an underdog of +137 or more by bookmakers this season.

The Mariners have combined with opponents to go over the total 19 times this season for a 19-20-2 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Red Sox have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 28 of 42 chances this season.

Mariners Stats & Insights

The Mariners rank 15th in runs scored with 184, 4.5 per game.

Seattle ranks 16th in MLB with 44 total home runs.

The Mariners rank 26th in MLB with a .228 batting average.

Seattle’s 9.7 strikeouts per game are the third-most in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Mariners has a collective 8.9 K/9, which ranks 11th in MLB.

Seattle’s 3.27 team ERA ranks second among all MLB pitching staffs.

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox have scored 227 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB.

Boston has hit 51 homers this season, which ranks 10th in the majors.

The Red Sox rank third in MLB with a .267 team batting average.

Boston has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the fifth-best strikeout rate (7.8 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Red Sox average the 16th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.6) in the league this season.

Boston pitchers have a combined ERA of 5.09 ERA this year, which ranks 27th in MLB.

Mariners Key Players to Watch

Castillo (2-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 52 strikeouts in 46 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Mariners, his ninth of the season.

Ty France has been key for Seattle with 43 hits, an OBP of .358 plus a slugging percentage of .394.

Jarred Kelenic leads Seattle in batting average (.291) and home runs (eight) this season, while also driving in 21 runs.

Julio Rodriguez is slashing .216/.287/.401 this season for the Mariners.

J.P. Crawford is batting .248 with an OBP of .373 and a slugging percentage of .344 this season.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

The Red Sox will hand the ball to Pivetta (2-3) for his eighth start of the season.

Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox with 11 home runs and 38 runs batted in.

Alex Verdugo is batting .298 to pace his team.

Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox with a team-best batting average of .298.

Justin Turner is batting .265 with nine doubles, three home runs and 20 walks.

Mariners and Red Sox Injuries

Mariners: Dylan Moore: 10 Day IL (Olique), Penn Murfee: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Easton McGee: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Andres Munoz: 15 Day IL (Deltoid), Robbie Ray: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Evan White: 60 Day IL (Adductor)

Red Sox: Christian Arroyo: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Yu Chang: 10 Day IL (Hand), John Schreiber: 15 Day IL (Side), Kutter Crawford: 15 Day IL (Knee), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Zack Kelly: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adam Duvall: 60 Day IL (Wrist), Wyatt Mills: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kiké Hernández: day-to-day (Hamstring)