Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 16, 2023

May 16, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Washington Nationals (18-23) will look to Joey Meneses, after his four-hit game last time out, to lead them in a matchup with the Miami Marlins (20-21) on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET on BSFL. The Nationals are +142 underdogs for the contest, according to bookmakers.

Miami’s Jesus Luzardo and Washington’s Josiah Gray have been named the starters for this contest.

Marlins vs. Nationals Odds

Marlins odds to win: -167
Nationals odds to win: +142
Spread: Marlins -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

Marlins vs. Nationals Promo Codes

DRAFTKINGS MLB Promo
Bet $5, Win $150 BONUS BETS
BET NOW!
CAESARS MLB Promo
Get Up To $1,500 in Bet Credits
BET NOW!
FANDUEL MLB Promo
Bet $5 Get $200
BET NOW!
BETMGM MLB Promo
$1K First Bet Offer
BET NOW!

Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, May 16, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: BSFL

Exclusive Apple TV Friday Night Baseball Pass
Sign Up to Watch Friday Night Baseball Exclusive on Apple TV+
Watch 7 Days For Free

Who Will Win Marlins vs. Nationals?

Marlins and Nationals Betting Trends

The Marlins are 8-8 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games).

Miami has played as moneyline favorites of -167 or shorter in just one game this season, which it lost.

The Nationals have won 17, or 42.5%, of the 40 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Washington has entered 24 games this season as the underdog by +142 or more and is 10-14 in those contests.

The Marlins have played in 40 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 18 times (18-21-1).

Games involving the Nationals have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 17 of 40 chances this season.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins score the second-fewest runs in baseball (141 total, 3.4 per game).

Miami is 24th in MLB with 37 total home runs.

The Marlins’ .247 batting average ranks 14th in MLB.

Miami’s 8.6 strikeouts per game rank 13th in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Marlins has a collective 9.3 K/9, the seventh-best in MLB.

Miami has the 21st-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.59).

Nationals Stats & Insights

The Nationals have scored the 25th-most runs in the league this season with 166 (four per game).

Washington has hit just 26 homers this season, which ranks 29th in the majors.

The Nationals rank ninth in MLB with a .260 team batting average.

Washington has the fewest strikeouts in MLB, fanning only seven times per game on average.

The Nationals average just 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, worst in the league.

Washington has the 18th-ranked ERA (4.40) in the majors this season.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

Luzardo (3-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 48 strikeouts in 45 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Marlins, his ninth of the season.

Luis Arraez leads Miami with a batting average of .382.

Jorge Soler leads Miami in home runs with nine and runs batted in with 20.

Jazz Chisholm has collected 33 base hits, an OBP of .291 and a slugging percentage of .403 this season.

Jon Berti has 32 hits and an OBP of .320 to go with a slugging percentage of .364 this season.

Nationals Key Players to Watch

The Nationals will hand the ball to Gray (3-5) for his ninth start of the season.

Luis Garcia has five doubles, a triple, three home runs and 10 walks while hitting .270.

Lane Thomas has shown off his power as he leads his team with four home runs.

Joey Meneses paces the Nationals in runs batted in (22) and has put up a team-high batting average of .300.

C.J. Abrams has shown his power as he leads his team with four home runs and 22 RBI.

Marlins and Nationals Injuries

Marlins: Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Back), Jesús Sánchez: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Jazz Chisholm: 10 Day IL (Toe), A.J. Puk: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)

Nationals: Victor Robles: 10 Day IL (Back), Israel Pineda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Chad Kuhl: 15 Day IL (Foot), Stephen Strasburg: 60 Day IL (Ribs/shoulder), Tanner Rainey: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Victor Arano: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)