Padres vs. Royals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 16, 2023

May 16, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Kansas City Royals (12-31) will try to end their four-game losing streak when they visit the San Diego Padres (20-22) on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET on BSSD. Oddsmakers consider the Padres to be -201 favorites for the contest, while the Royals are +168 underdogs looking for the upset.

Seth Lugo takes the mound for San Diego while Brady Singer is Kansas City’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Royals Odds

Padres odds to win: -201
Royals odds to win: +168
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, May 16, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: BSSD

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Royals?

Padres and Royals Betting Trends

The Padres have been the moneyline favorite 23 total times this season. They’ve gone 12-11 in those games.

San Diego has a 5-1 record (winning 83.3% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -201 or shorter.

The Royals have won 11, or 28.9%, of the 38 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Kansas City is 2-11 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +168 or more on the moneyline.

The Padres have played in 42 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 13 times (13-26-3).

The Royals’ games have gone over the total in 20 of their 42 chances.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres have the No. 26 offense in MLB action scoring 3.9 runs per game (165 total runs).

San Diego ranks 15th in MLB with 45 total home runs.

The Padres have the worst batting average in the majors (.224).

San Diego strikes out 8.9 times per game to rank 20th in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Padres has a collective 8.5 K/9, which ranks 20th in MLB.

San Diego’s 3.97 team ERA ranks 12th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Royals Stats & Insights

The Royals have scored the 24th-most runs in the league this season with 173 (four per game).

Kansas City ranks 20th in Major League Baseball with 43 home runs.

The Royals rank 23rd in MLB with a .233 team batting average.

Kansas City ranks 23rd in strikeouts per game (8.8) among MLB offenses.

The Royals have an 8.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 16th in the majors.

Kansas City has pitched to a 5.38 ERA this season, which ranks 28th in baseball.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Lugo (3-2) takes the mound for the Padres in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 3.18 ERA in 39 2/3 innings pitched, with 36 strikeouts.

Juan Soto leads San Diego in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (20) this season while batting .252.

Xander Bogaerts’ batting average of .268 leads all San Diego hitters this season.

Manny Machado has collected 36 base hits, an OBP of .282 and a slugging percentage of .372 this season.

Jake Cronenworth is batting .210 with an OBP of .324 and a slugging percentage of .357 this season.

Royals Key Players to Watch

Singer (2-4) will take the mound for the Royals, his ninth start of the season.

Vinnie Pasquantino is batting .269 with 13 doubles, seven home runs and 21 walks.

Bobby Witt Jr. is hitting .229 with seven doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 10 walks.

Salvador Perez paces the Royals with nine home runs and 23 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-high batting average of .293.

Edward Olivares is hitting .233 with six doubles, two triples, three home runs and nine walks.

Padres and Royals Injuries

Padres: Jose Azocar: 10 Day IL (Elbow inflammation), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Pomeranz: 60 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Manny Machado: day-to-day (Hand)

Royals: Nicky Lopez: 10 Day IL (Appendicitis), Kyle Isbel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Waters: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Ryan Yarbrough: 15 Day IL (Head), Daniel Lynch: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Kris Bubic: 60 Day IL (Flexor), Jake Brentz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Angel Zerpa: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Diego Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)