Phillies vs. Giants Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 16, 2023

May 16, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Francisco Giants (18-23) will look to Michael Conforto, with homers in two straight games, to pull off an upset win over the Philadelphia Phillies (20-21) Tuesday at Oracle Park. The Phillies are -114 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 9:45 PM ET live on MLB Network.

Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler and San Francisco’s Alex Cobb have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Giants Odds

Phillies odds to win: -114
Giants odds to win: -105
Spread: Phillies -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, May 16, 2023
Time: 9:45 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Phillies vs. Giants?

Phillies and Giants Betting Trends

The Phillies have won 60% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (15-10).

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -114 or shorter, Philadelphia has gone 14-9 (60.9%).

The Giants have been underdogs in 21 games this season and won nine (42.9%) of those contests.

San Francisco is 8-11 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -105 or more on the moneyline.

The Phillies have played in 41 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 17 times (17-22-2).

The Giants’ games have gone over the total in 19 of their 41 chances.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies are the 20th-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.3 runs per game (176 total).

Philadelphia ranks 20th in MLB action with 43 home runs. They average one per game.

The Phillies have the eighth-best batting average in the league (.261).

Philadelphia strikes out 9.1 times per game to rank 20th in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Phillies has a collective 9.4 K/9, the fifth-best in the majors.

Philadelphia has the 22nd-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.61).

Giants Stats & Insights

The Giants have scored 179 runs (4.4 per game) this season, which ranks 17th in MLB.

San Francisco ranks fourth in Major League Baseball with 63 home runs.

The Giants rank 18th in MLB with a .240 team batting average.

San Francisco ranks 27th in strikeouts per game (9.7) among MLB offenses.

The Giants average the 20th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.5) in the league this season.

San Francisco has the 20th-ranked ERA (4.57) in the majors this season.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

Wheeler (3-2 with a 3.80 ERA and 53 strikeouts in 45 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his ninth of the season.

Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in runs batted in with 31 and has a batting average of .278.

Nicholas Castellanos is batting .308 to lead Philadelphia, while adding five homers and 25 runs batted in this season.

Brandon Marsh has collected 33 base hits, an OBP of .406 and a slugging percentage of .530 this season.

Trea Turner has 45 hits and an OBP of .308 to go with a slugging percentage of .405 this season.

Giants Key Players to Watch

The Giants will send Cobb (3-1) to the mound for his ninth start this season.

Thairo Estrada has accumulated a team-best batting average of .310.

LaMonte Wade Jr has four doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 27 walks while batting .268.

J.D. Davis has put up a team-high 22 runs batted in.

Conforto has hit eight home runs to lead his team.

Phillies and Giants Injuries

Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), José Alvarado: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Giants: Austin Slater: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Joc Pederson: 10 Day IL (Hand), Roberto Pérez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luke Jackson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis González: 60 Day IL (Back), Thomas Szapucki: 60 Day IL (Left arm), Anthony DeSclafani: day-to-day (Toe)