Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 17, 2023

May 17, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Miami Marlins (21-21), led by Bryan De La Cruz on a 10-game hitting streak, will meet the Washington Nationals (18-24) Wednesday at LoanDepot park. The Marlins are -127 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 6:40 PM ET on BSFL.

Edward Cabrera will get the ball for Miami while Washington will counter with MacKenzie Gore.

Marlins vs. Nationals Odds

Marlins odds to win: -127
Nationals odds to win: +108
Spread: Marlins -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 17, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: BSFL

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Who Will Win Marlins vs. Nationals?

Marlins and Nationals Betting Trends

The Marlins have a 9-8 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 52.9% of those games).

When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -127 or shorter, Miami has a 4-4 record (winning 50% of its games).

This season, the Nationals have been the underdog 41 times and won 17, or 41.5%, of those games.

This season, Washington has won 16 of its 38 games, or 42.1%, when it’s the underdog by at least +108 on the moneyline.

The Marlins have played in 41 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 19 times (19-21-1).

The Nationals and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 18 of their 41 opportunities.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins have the No. 28 offense in baseball scoring 3.5 runs per game (146 total runs).

Miami ranks 24th in baseball with 38 home runs. They average 0.9 per game.

The Marlins have the 13th-ranked batting average in the league (.249).

Miami strikes out 8.5 times per game to rank 12th in the majors.

The Marlins pitching staff ranks fifth in MLB with a collective 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Miami has a 4.57 team ERA that ranks 21st across all MLB pitching staffs.

Nationals Stats & Insights

The Nationals have scored the 25th-most runs in the league this season with 170 (four per game).

Washington has hit just 27 homers this season, which ranks 29th in the majors.

The Nationals’ .259 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking ninth in MLB.

Washington has the fewest strikeouts in MLB, fanning only 7.1 times per game on average.

The Nationals average just 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, which ranks 29th in the league.

Washington has pitched to a 4.40 ERA this season, which ranks 18th in baseball.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

The Marlins will send Cabrera (2-3) out for his ninth start of the season. He is 2-3 with a 5.35 ERA and 49 strikeouts through 35 1/3 innings pitched.

Luis Arraez leads Miami with a .386 batting average.

Jorge Soler leads Miami in home runs (10) and runs batted in (22) this season while batting .238.

Jon Berti is slashing .271/.320/.364 this season for the Marlins.

Yuli Gurriel is batting .247 with an OBP of .299 and a slugging percentage of .382 this season.

Nationals Key Players to Watch

Gore (3-2) will take to the mound for the Nationals and make his ninth start of the season.

Luis Garcia is batting .268 with five doubles, a triple, three home runs and 10 walks.

Lane Thomas has hit five home runs to lead his team.

Joey Meneses leads the Nationals in runs batted in (22) and has racked up a team-high batting average of .295.

C.J. Abrams’ 22 runs batted in pace his team.

Marlins and Nationals Injuries

Marlins: Jesús Sánchez: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Jazz Chisholm: 10 Day IL (Toe), Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Back), A.J. Puk: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)

Nationals: Victor Robles: 10 Day IL (Back), Israel Pineda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Chad Kuhl: 15 Day IL (Foot), Stephen Strasburg: 60 Day IL (Ribs/shoulder), Tanner Rainey: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Victor Arano: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)