Padres vs. Royals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 17, 2023

The San Diego Padres (20-23) and the Kansas City Royals (13-31) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Wednesday at 4:10 PM ET. The Padres are -286 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Royals (+234).

Yu Darvish starts for San Diego while Carlos Hernandez is Kansas City’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Royals Odds

  • Padres odds to win: -286
  • Royals odds to win: +234
  • Spread: Padres -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
  • Padres vs. Royals Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Wednesday, May 17, 2023
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV: BSSD
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    Who Will Win Padres vs. Royals?

    Padres and Royals Betting Trends

    The Padres are 12-12 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).

    San Diego has not yet played as moneyline favorites of -286 or shorter.

    The Royals have been underdogs in 39 games this season and won 12 (30.8%) of those contests.

    Kansas City has played as an underdog of +234 or more once this season and lost that game.

    The Padres have combined with opponents to go over the total 14 times this season for a 14-26-3 record against the over/under.

    Games involving the Royals have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 21 of 43 chances this season.

    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres score the fourth-fewest runs in baseball (169 total, 3.9 per game).

    San Diego is 17th in baseball with 45 home runs. They average one per game.

    The Padres rank last in MLB with a .225 batting average.

    San Diego strikes out 8.8 times per game to rank 20th in the majors.

    The 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Padres pitching staff ranks 20th in MLB.

    San Diego has a 3.99 team ERA that ranks 13th among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Royals Stats & Insights

    The Royals have scored the 23rd-most runs in the league this season with 178 (four per game).

    Kansas City has hit 43 homers this season, which ranks 22nd in the majors.

    The Royals’ .233 batting average ranks 23rd in the league this season.

    Kansas City ranks 25th in strikeouts per game (8.8) among MLB offenses.

    The Royals strike out 8.6 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 15th in MLB.

    Kansas City has the 28th-ranked ERA (5.31) in the majors this season.

    Padres Key Players to Watch

    Darvish (2-2 with a 3.16 ERA and 47 strikeouts in 42 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Padres, his eighth of the season.

    Juan Soto leads San Diego in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (20) this season while batting .258.

    Xander Bogaerts is batting .269 to lead San Diego, while adding six homers and 15 runs batted in this season.

    Manny Machado has collected 36 base hits, an OBP of .282 and a slugging percentage of .372 this season.

    Jake Cronenworth has 31 hits and an OBP of .322 to go with a slugging percentage of .367 this season.

    Royals Key Players to Watch

    Hernandez will make his first start of the season for the Royals.

    Vinnie Pasquantino is batting .268 with 13 doubles, seven home runs and 21 walks.

    Bobby Witt Jr. is hitting .233 with seven doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 10 walks.

    Salvador Perez has accumulated a team-best .289 batting average, and paces the Royals in home runs (nine) and runs batted in (25).

    Edward Olivares has six doubles, two triples, three home runs and nine walks while hitting .233.

    Padres and Royals Injuries

    Padres: Jose Azocar: 10 Day IL (Elbow), David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Pomeranz: 60 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Seth Lugo: day-to-day (Calf), Manny Machado: day-to-day (Hand)

    Royals: Nicky Lopez: 10 Day IL (Appendicitis), Kyle Isbel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Drew Waters: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Ryan Yarbrough: 15 Day IL (Head), Daniel Lynch: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Kris Bubic: 60 Day IL (Flexor), Jake Brentz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Angel Zerpa: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Diego Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Padres vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Royals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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