Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 17, 2023

May 17, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The New York Yankees (25-19), led by the red-hot Aaron Judge and his two-game homer streak, are -119 favorites to pick up a win over the Toronto Blue Jays (24-18) Wednesday at 7:07 PM ET, live from Rogers Centre and broadcast on Amazon Prime Video.

Gerrit Cole takes the mound for New York while Chris Bassitt is Toronto’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds

Yankees odds to win: -119
Blue Jays odds to win: +100
Spread: Yankees -1.5
Total: 8 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 17, 2023
Time: 7:07 PM ET
TV: Amazon Prime Video

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Who Will Win Yankees vs. Blue Jays?

Yankees and Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Yankees have a 20-11 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 64.5% of those games).

New York has gone 18-9 (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -119 or shorter.

This season, the Blue Jays have been the underdog 12 times and won six, or 50%, of those games.

Toronto has entered nine games this season as the underdog by +100 or more and is 5-4 in those contests.

The Yankees have played in 44 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 21 times (21-22-1).

The Blue Jays and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 20 of their 42 opportunities.

Yankees Stats & Insights

The Yankees score the 10th-most runs in baseball (205 total, 4.7 per game).

New York is fourth-best in MLB play with 65 total home runs.

The Yankees’ .239 batting average ranks 22nd in the majors.

New York’s batters strike out eight times per game, the 10th-lowest average in MLB.

The 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Yankees pitching staff ranks ninth in MLB.

New York has the ninth-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.83).

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays have scored the 13th-most runs in the league this season with 199 (4.7 per game).

Toronto ranks 17th in Major League Baseball with 45 home runs.

The Blue Jays have a team batting average of .257 this season, which ranks 11th among MLB teams.

Toronto has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the sixth-best strikeout rate (eight per game) among MLB offenses.

The Blue Jays average 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, fifth-most in the league.

Toronto has the 14th-ranked ERA (4.04) in the majors this season.

Yankees Key Players to Watch

Cole (5-0) takes the mound for the Yankees in his 10th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.22 ERA in 56 2/3 innings pitched, with 62 strikeouts.

Gleyber Torres has been key for New York with 39 hits, an OBP of .348 plus a slugging percentage of .441.

Anthony Rizzo leads New York in batting with a .308 average while slugging nine homers and driving in 23 runs.

Judge leads New York in home runs with 11 and runs batted in with 26.

Anthony Volpe is batting .213 with an OBP of .299 and a slugging percentage of .381 this season.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

The Blue Jays will send Bassitt (5-2) to the mound for his ninth start this season.

Bo Bichette has racked up a team-high batting average of .322, while leading the Blue Jays in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (28).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 11 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks while batting .312.

Matt Chapman paces the Blue Jays with a .322 batting average.

Kevin Kiermaier is batting .327 with nine doubles, two triples, three home runs and 10 walks.

Yankees and Blue Jays Injuries

Yankees: Giancarlo Stanton: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Oswald Peraza: 10 Day IL (Ankle), Josh Donaldson: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Ian Hamilton: 15 Day IL (Groin), Carlos Rodón: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Severino: 15 Day IL (Lat), Jonathan Loaisiga: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Lou Trivino: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Gil: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Frankie Montás: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tommy Kahnle: 60 Day IL (Biceps)

Blue Jays: Zach Pop: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Adam Cimber: 15 Day IL (Rhomboid), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: day-to-day (Knee)