Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, May 18, 2023

May 18, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Toronto Blue Jays will take the field against the New York Yankees (25-20) on Thursday. The game begins at 7:07 PM ET on MLB Network, with the Blue Jays listed as -138 favorites on the moneyline.

Toronto’s Jose Berrios and New York’s Nestor Cortes Jr. have been named the starters for this contest.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds

Blue Jays odds to win: -138
Yankees odds to win: +119
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, May 18, 2023
Time: 7:07 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Yankees?

Blue Jays and Yankees Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been favored on the moneyline 30 total times this season. They’ve gone 18-12 in those games.

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -138 or shorter, Toronto has a record of 11-7 (61.1%).

The Yankees have entered the game as underdogs 13 times this season and won five, or 38.5%, of those games.

New York has a record of 4-5, a 44.4% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +119 or more by sportsbooks this season.

The Blue Jays have played in 43 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 20 times (20-21-2).

The Yankees and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of their 45 opportunities.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays rank 13th in runs scored with 202, 4.7 per game.

Toronto ranks 18th in baseball with 46 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Blue Jays rank 10th in MLB with a .257 batting average.

Toronto strikes out eight times per game to rank sixth in baseball.

The 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Blue Jays pitching staff ranks fifth in the majors.

Toronto has the 11th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.93).

Yankees Stats & Insights

The Yankees rank 12th in the majors with 205 total runs scored this season.

New York ranks fourth in Major League Baseball with 65 home runs.

The Yankees rank 22nd in MLB with a .235 team batting average.

New York is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking 10th with an average of 8.1 strikeouts per game.

The Yankees average 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, 10th-most in the league.

New York has pitched to a 3.77 ERA this season, which ranks seventh in baseball.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

Berrios (3-3) takes the mound for the Blue Jays in his ninth start of the season. He has a 4.70 ERA in 46 2/3 innings pitched, with 44 strikeouts.

Bo Bichette leads Toronto in home runs with eight, runs batted in with 28 and his batting average of .319 is also best on his team.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has collected 49 hits this season and has an OBP of .385. He’s slugging .516 on the year.

Matt Chapman has 50 hits this season and a slash line of .318/.402/.529.

Kevin Kiermaier has collected 37 hits this season and has an OBP of .387. He’s slugging .522 on the year.

Yankees Key Players to Watch

The Yankees will hand the ball to Cortes (3-2) for his ninth start of the season.

Gleyber Torres is batting .248 with eight doubles, a triple, six home runs and 23 walks.

Anthony Rizzo’s .302 batting average paces his team.

Aaron Judge has accumulated a team-high 11 home runs and 26 runs batted in.

Anthony Volpe has four doubles, two triples, six home runs and 19 walks while hitting .212.

Blue Jays and Yankees Injuries

Blue Jays: Zach Pop: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Adam Cimber: 15 Day IL (Rhomboid), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: day-to-day (Knee)

Yankees: Jose Trevino: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Oswald Peraza: 10 Day IL (Ankle), Josh Donaldson: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Giancarlo Stanton: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Ian Hamilton: 15 Day IL (Groin), Carlos Rodón: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Severino: 15 Day IL (Lat), Jonathan Loaisiga: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Lou Trivino: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Gil: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Frankie Montás: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tommy Kahnle: 60 Day IL (Biceps)