Mets vs. Guardians Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Friday, May 19, 2023

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Mets vs. Guardians Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 19, 2023

MLB Predictions

The New York Mets (22-23), led by the red-hot Pete Alonso and his three-game homer streak, are -141 favorites to pick up a win over the Cleveland Guardians (20-23) Friday at 7:10 PM ET, live from Citi Field and broadcast on SNY.

Carlos Carrasco takes the mound for New York while Cal Quantrill is Cleveland’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Guardians Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -141
  • Guardians odds to win: +121
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs

Mets vs. Guardians Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, May 19, 2023
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV: SNY

Who Will Win Mets vs. Guardians?

Mets and Guardians Betting Trends

The Mets have won 51.5% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (17-16).

When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -141 or shorter, New York has a 9-14 record (winning just 39.1% of its games).

The Guardians have been underdogs in 16 games this season and won eight (50%) of those contests.

This season, Cleveland has won three of its five games when it’s the underdog by at least +121 on the moneyline.

The Mets have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 44 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 20 of those games (20-23-1).

So far this season, the Guardians and their opponents have hit the over in 16 of their 42 games with a total.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets are the 18th-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.2 runs per game (190 total).

New York is 16th in MLB play with 48 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Mets rank 20th in MLB with a .240 batting average.

New York strikes out 7.4 times per game, the fourth-fewest mark in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Mets has a collective 8.7 K/9, which ranks 14th in MLB.

New York has a 4.72 team ERA that ranks 25th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Guardians Stats & Insights

The Guardians are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 29th with just 150 total runs (3.5 per game) this season.

Cleveland’s 24 home runs rank last in MLB this season.

The Guardians have a team batting average of just .227 this season, which ranks 28th among MLB teams.

Cleveland has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the second-best strikeout rate (7.4 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Guardians have a 7.5 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 29th in baseball.

Cleveland has pitched to a 3.81 ERA this season, which ranks eighth in baseball.

Mets Key Players to Watch

Carrasco makes the start for the Mets, his fourth of the season. He is 0-2 with an 8.56 ERA and eight strikeouts through 13 2/3 innings pitched.

Alonso leads New York in home runs with 16 and runs batted in with 37.

Francisco Lindor is batting .225 with an OBP of .308 and a slugging percentage of .410 this season.

Brandon Nimmo’s batting average of .298 leads all New York hitters this season.

Jeff McNeil has 46 hits and an OBP of .362 to go with a slugging percentage of .368 this season.

Guardians Key Players to Watch

Quantrill (2-2) will take to the mound for the Guardians and make his ninth start of the season.

Steven Kwan is batting .269 with nine doubles, a triple, a home run and 24 walks.

Josh Naylor has put his power on display as he paces his team with six home runs and 26 RBI.

Josh Bell is hitting .227 with 10 doubles, three home runs and 26 walks.

Andres Gimenez has seven doubles, a triple, three home runs and eight walks while batting .231.

Mets and Guardians Injuries

Mets: Tomás Nido: 10 Day IL (Eye), Jimmy Yacabonis: 15 Day IL (Quadricep), Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Carlos Carrasco: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tim Locastro: 60 Day IL (Back), Omar Narváez: 60 Day IL (Calf), Stephen Ridings: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Elieser Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)

Guardians: Aaron Civale: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Peyton Battenfield: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Triston McKenzie: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Cody Morris: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

Mets vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Guardians 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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    Author: Matt Rooney

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.