Padres vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 19, 2023

The San Diego Padres (20-24) hope to avoid an upset as -151 favorites when they take on Justin Turner (with homers in two straight contests) and the Boston Red Sox (24-20). First pitch is at 9:40 PM ET Friday, live from PETCO Park and airing on BSSD.

Blake Snell starts for San Diego while James Paxton is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Red Sox Odds

  • Padres odds to win: -151
  • Red Sox odds to win: +130
  • Spread: Padres -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
  • Padres vs. Red Sox Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, May 19, 2023
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • TV: BSSD
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    Who Will Win Padres vs. Red Sox?

    Padres and Red Sox Betting Trends

    The Padres have been the moneyline favorite 25 total times this season. They’ve finished 12-13 in those games.

    In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -151 or shorter, San Diego has a 7-10 record (winning 41.2% of its games).

    The Red Sox have been underdogs in 27 games this season and won 14 (51.9%) of those contests.

    Boston has a record of 9-4 in games where sportsbooks have it as underdogs of at least +130 on the moneyline.

    The Padres have had an over/under set by bookmakers 44 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 14 of those games (14-27-3).

    So far this season, the Red Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 30 of their 44 games with a total.

    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres score the fourth-fewest runs in baseball (172 total, 3.9 per game).

    San Diego averages one home run per game to rank 19th in MLB action with 46 total home runs .

    The Padres have the worst batting average in the majors (.226).

    San Diego strikes out 8.9 times per game to rank 22nd in baseball.

    The Padres pitching staff ranks 16th in the majors with a collective 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings.

    San Diego has the 12th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.99).

    Red Sox Stats & Insights

    The Red Sox have scored 248 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB.

    Boston’s 55 home runs rank 10th in Major League Baseball.

    The Red Sox’s .272 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking second in MLB.

    Boston has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the fifth-best strikeout rate (7.8 per game) among MLB offenses.

    The Red Sox strike out 8.6 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 16th in MLB.

    Boston pitchers have a combined ERA of 5.00 ERA this year, which ranks 26th in MLB.

    Padres Key Players to Watch

    Snell (1-5) gets the starting nod for the Padres in his ninth start of the season. He’s put together a 4.83 ERA in 41 2/3 innings pitched, with 43 strikeouts.

    Juan Soto is batting .252 this season with a team-high seven home runs and 20 RBI.

    Xander Bogaerts is batting .275 to lead San Diego, while adding six homers and 16 runs batted in this season.

    Jake Cronenworth has 33 hits this season and a slash line of .220/.335/.393.

    Manny Machado is batting .231 with an OBP of .282 and a slugging percentage of .372 this season.

    Red Sox Key Players to Watch

    The Red Sox will send Paxton to the mound for his second start of the season.

    Alex Verdugo leads the Red Sox with a .305 batting average.

    Masataka Yoshida is batting .300 with eight doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks.

    Rafael Devers has put up a team-high 11 home runs and 40 runs batted in.

    Turner has nine doubles, five home runs and 20 walks while batting .280.

    Padres and Red Sox Injuries

    Padres: Manny Machado: 10 Day IL (Hand), Jose Azocar: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Seth Lugo: 15 Day IL (Calf), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Pomeranz: 60 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

    Red Sox: Christian Arroyo: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Yu Chang: 10 Day IL (Hand), John Schreiber: 15 Day IL (Side), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Zack Kelly: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adam Duvall: 60 Day IL (Wrist), Wyatt Mills: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee)

    Padres vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 6, Red Sox 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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