Yankees vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 19, 2023

May 19, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Cincinnati Reds (19-24) enter Friday’s matchup with the New York Yankees (26-20) following their 1-2 series defeat to the Rockies. The Yankees, coming off of a series win against the Blue Jays, are listed as -169 favorites for Game 1. The series begins at Great American Ball Park, starting at 6:40 PM ET on BSOH.

New York’s Clarke Schmidt and Cincinnati’s Ben Lively have been named the starters for this contest.

Yankees vs. Reds Odds

Yankees odds to win: -169
Reds odds to win: +144
Spread: Yankees -1.5
Total: 10.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, May 19, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: BSOH

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Who Will Win Yankees vs. Reds?

Yankees and Reds Betting Trends

The Yankees have won 20 of the 32 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (62.5%).

New York has gone 9-1 (winning 90% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -169 or shorter.

The Reds have entered the game as underdogs 31 times this season and won 13, or 41.9%, of those games.

Cincinnati has a record of 4-9, a 30.8% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +144 or more by sportsbooks this season.

In the 46 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Yankees, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 21 times (21-24-1).

The Reds and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 23 of their 43 opportunities.

Yankees Stats & Insights

The Yankees have the No. 10 offense in baseball scoring 4.5 runs per game (209 total runs).

New York is fourth in MLB action with 67 home runs. They average 1.5 per game.

The Yankees are 22nd in the majors with a .236 batting average.

New York strikes out 8.2 times per game to rank 12th in MLB.

The Yankees pitching staff is 10th in MLB with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

New York has a 3.73 team ERA that ranks seventh across all MLB pitching staffs.

Reds Stats & Insights

The Reds rank 20th in the majors with 188 total runs scored this season.

Cincinnati ranks 27th in Major League Baseball with just 34 home runs as a team.

The Reds rank 15th in MLB with a .248 team batting average.

Cincinnati ranks 20th with an average of 9.1 strikeouts per game.

The Reds average 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, eighth-most in the league.

Cincinnati has the 27th-ranked ERA (5.08) in the majors this season.

Yankees Key Players to Watch

Schmidt (1-4 with a 6.30 ERA and 48 strikeouts in 40 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Yankees, his 10th of the season.

Gleyber Torres has been key for New York with six home runs, 21 RBI and a batting average of .253 this season.

Aaron Judge leads New York in home runs with 12 and runs batted in with 28.

Anthony Rizzo’s batting average of .295 leads all New York hitters this season.

Anthony Volpe has 34 hits and an OBP of .307 to go with a slugging percentage of .399 this season.

Reds Key Players to Watch

Lively will make his first start of the season for the Reds.

Jonathan India is batting .289 with 12 doubles, three home runs and 20 walks.

Jake Fraley’s five home runs and 29 runs batted in both pace his team.

Spencer Steer has launched a team-high five homers.

Nick Senzel is batting .274 with five doubles, four home runs and 12 walks.

Yankees and Reds Injuries

Yankees: Jose Trevino: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Giancarlo Stanton: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Oswald Peraza: 10 Day IL (Ankle), Josh Donaldson: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Ian Hamilton: 15 Day IL (Groin), Carlos Rodón: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Severino: 15 Day IL (Lat), Jonathan Loaisiga: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Lou Trivino: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Gil: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Frankie Montás: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tommy Kahnle: 60 Day IL (Biceps)

Reds: TJ Friedl: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Nick Lodolo: 15 Day IL (Calf), Casey Legumina: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Fernando Cruz: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Reiver Sanmartin: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Connor Overton: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Santillan: 60 Day IL (Back), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Joey Votto: 60 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)