Braves vs. Mariners Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 20, 2023

May 20, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Seattle Mariners (21-23) hope to avoid their fourth straight defeat when they visit the Atlanta Braves (28-16) Saturday at 7:15 PM ET on FOX. The Braves are listed as -131 favorites, while the Mariners are +112 underdogs as they try to snap their losing skid.

Jesse Chavez takes the mound for Atlanta while Logan Gilbert is Seattle’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Mariners Odds

Braves odds to win: -131
Mariners odds to win: +112
Spread: Braves -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 20, 2023
Time: 7:15 PM ET
TV: FOX

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Who Will Win Braves vs. Mariners?

Braves and Mariners Betting Trends

The Braves have a 24-13 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 64.9% of those games).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -131 or shorter, Atlanta has a 23-6 record (winning 79.3% of its games).

The Mariners have won five, or 35.7%, of the 14 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

This season, Seattle has won two of its six games when it’s the underdog by at least +112 on the moneyline.

The Braves have played in 44 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 26 times (26-17-1).

The Mariners’ games have gone over the total in 21 of their 44 chances.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves have the No. 5 offense in MLB action scoring 5.3 runs per game (234 total runs).

Atlanta ranks second-best in baseball with 75 total home runs.

The Braves’ .258 batting average is eighth-best in the majors.

Atlanta strikes out 8.8 times per game to rank 15th in MLB.

The 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Braves pitching staff ranks third in MLB.

Atlanta’s 3.54 team ERA ranks fourth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Mariners Stats & Insights

The Mariners have scored 193 runs (4.4 per game) this season, which ranks 20th in MLB.

Seattle’s 45 home runs rank 20th in Major League Baseball.

The Mariners have a team batting average of just .227 this season, which ranks 29th among MLB teams.

Seattle ranks just 27th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 9.6 whiffs per contest.

The Mariners strike out 8.8 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 12th in MLB.

Seattle has pitched to a 3.64 ERA this season, which ranks fifth in baseball.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Chavez makes his first start of the season for the Braves.

Ronald Acuna Jr. leads Atlanta with a .343 batting average. He’s also hit 11 homers and has 27 RBI.

Matt Olson is slugging .515 this season, with a team-best 12 homers while driving in 32 runs.

Sean Murphy is among the top hitters for Atlanta with a .275 average, 10 homers and 34 RBI.

Ozzie Albies has collected 46 hits this season and has an OBP of .308. He’s slugging .503 on the year.

Mariners Key Players to Watch

The Mariners will send Gilbert (1-2) to the mound for his ninth start this season.

Ty France is hitting .266 with 13 doubles, two home runs and 13 walks.

Jarred Kelenic has shown off his power as he paces his team with eight home runs with a team-leading .283 batting average.

Julio Rodriguez has eight doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 14 walks while hitting .211.

Cal Raleigh is hitting .235 with seven doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 18 walks.

Braves and Mariners Injuries

Braves: Max Fried: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Dylan Lee: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Kyle Wright: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ehire Adrianza: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Mariners: Dylan Moore: 10 Day IL (Olique), Penn Murfee: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Easton McGee: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Andres Munoz: 15 Day IL (Deltoid), Robbie Ray: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Evan White: 60 Day IL (Adductor)