Giants vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 20, 2023

May 20, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Francisco Giants (21-23) host the Miami Marlins (23-22) at 4:05 PM ET Saturday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Thairo Estrada is batting .312 this year (eighth in the league) for the favored Giants (-170), while Luis Arraez ranks first in the majors with a .388 average for the underdog Marlins.

San Francisco’s Logan Webb gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Braxton Garrett.

Giants vs. Marlins Odds

Giants odds to win: -170
Marlins odds to win: +144
Spread: Giants -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 20, 2023
Time: 4:05 PM ET
TV: NBCS-BA

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Who Will Win Giants vs. Marlins?

Giants and Marlins Betting Trends

The Giants have a 10-11 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 47.6% of those games).

San Francisco has a record of 2-2 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -170 or shorter (50% winning percentage).

This season, the Marlins have been the underdog 25 times and won 11, or 44%, of those games.

Miami has a record of 4-6, a 40% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +144 or more by oddsmakers this season.

In the 44 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Giants, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 20 times (20-22-2).

The Marlins’ games have gone over the total in 19 of their 44 chances.

Giants Stats & Insights

The Giants are the 18th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.4 runs per game (194 total).

San Francisco ranks sixth-best in MLB play with 63 total home runs.

The Giants have the 19th-ranked batting average in the majors (.242).

San Francisco’s hitters strike out 9.6 times per game, the 27th-most in baseball.

The Giants pitching staff ranks 16th in the majors with a collective 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings.

San Francisco’s 4.49 team ERA ranks 21st across all MLB pitching staffs.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins have scored 158 runs (just 3.5 per game) this season, which ranks 29th in MLB.

Miami has hit 41 homers this season, which ranks 24th in the majors.

The Marlins’ .249 batting average ranks 14th in the league this season.

Miami ranks 13th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.5 Ks per contest.

The Marlins have a 9.3 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, seventh-best in baseball.

Miami has the 20th-ranked ERA (4.48) in the majors this season.

Giants Key Players to Watch

The Giants will send Webb (3-5) out to make his 10th start of the season. He is 3-5 with a 3.66 ERA and 58 strikeouts through 59 2/3 innings pitched.

Estrada leads San Francisco in batting average (.312) this season while adding six home runs and 16 RBI.

LaMonte Wade Jr has 32 hits and an OBP of .429 to go with a slugging percentage of .488 this season.

Michael Conforto’s eight home runs lead all San Francisco hitters, and he’s slugging .410.

J.D. Davis is a key run producer for San Francisco with a .286 average, seven homers and 23 RBI.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

Garrett (1-2) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his eighth start of the season.

Arraez has put up a team-high batting average of .388.

Jorge Soler’s 11 home runs and 24 RBI both pace his team.

Bryan De La Cruz is batting .293 with 10 doubles, five home runs and nine walks.

Jon Berti is hitting .268 with five doubles, two home runs and nine walks.

Giants and Marlins Injuries

Giants: Joc Pederson: 10 Day IL (Hand), Austin Slater: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Joey Bart: 10 Day IL (Groin), Ross Stripling: 15 Day IL (Back), Roberto Pérez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Heliot Ramos: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Luke Jackson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis González: 60 Day IL (Back), Thomas Szapucki: 60 Day IL (Left arm), Anthony DeSclafani: day-to-day (Toe)

Marlins: Jesús Sánchez: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Back), Jazz Chisholm: 10 Day IL (Toe), A.J. Puk: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)