Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 20, 2023

The Pittsburgh Pirates will take the field against the Arizona Diamondbacks (25-20) on Saturday. The game begins at 4:05 PM ET on SportsNet PT, with the Pirates listed as -151 favorites on the moneyline.

Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller and Arizona’s Brandon Pfaadt have been named the starters for this contest.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds

• Pirates odds to win: -151
• Diamondbacks odds to win: +130
• Spread: Pirates -1.5
• Total: 8.5 runs

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Saturday, May 20, 2023
• Time: 4:05 PM ET
• TV: SportsNet PT

Who Will Win Pirates vs. Diamondbacks?

Pirates and Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Pirates have won nine of the 12 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (75%).

When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -151 or shorter, Pittsburgh has a record of 3-2 (60%).

The Diamondbacks have won 14, or 53.8%, of the 26 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Arizona has a record of 6-6 in games where oddsmakers have it as underdogs of at least +130 on the moneyline.

In the 44 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Pirates, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 20 times (20-22-2).

Games involving the Diamondbacks have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 23 of 45 chances this season.

Pirates Stats & Insights

The Pirates rank 16th in runs scored with 197, 4.5 per game.

Pittsburgh ranks 23rd in MLB play with 42 home runs. They average one per game.

The Pirates have the 16th-ranked batting average in the majors (.246).

Pittsburgh’s batters strike out 8.5 times per game, the 10th-lowest average in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Pirates has a collective 8.8 K/9, which ranks 12th in the majors.

Pittsburgh has a 3.67 team ERA that ranks sixth across all MLB pitching staffs.

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

The Diamondbacks have scored 230 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB.

Arizona ranks 17th in Major League Baseball with 49 home runs.

The Diamondbacks rank third in MLB with a .267 team batting average.

Arizona ranks third in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 7.6 Ks per contest.

The Diamondbacks strike out 8.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 24th in MLB.

Arizona pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.70 ERA this year, which ranks 22nd in MLB.

Pirates Key Players to Watch

Keller (5-1) takes the mound for the Pirates in his 10th start of the season. He has a 2.38 ERA in 56 2/3 innings pitched, with 69 strikeouts.

Bryan Reynolds leads Pittsburgh in batting average (.294) and runs batted in (27) this season while also slugging six homers.

Andrew McCutchen is slugging .466 this season, with a team-best seven homers while driving in 19 runs.

Carlos Santana has 36 hits this season and a slash line of .240/.329/.373.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has collected 39 hits this season and has an OBP of .298. He’s slugging .350 on the year.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

Pfaadt (0-1) will take the mound for the Diamondbacks, his fourth start of the season.

Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks with 11 home runs and 31 runs batted in.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s .309 batting average paces his team.

Corbin Carroll has 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 18 walks while batting .282.

Ketel Marte has eight doubles, three triples, five home runs and 14 walks while hitting .275.

Pirates and Diamondbacks Injuries

Pirates: Vince Velásquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Ji-Man Choi: 60 Day IL (Achilles), Oneil Cruz: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Wil Crowe: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jarlin García: 60 Day IL (Arm), Max Kranick: 60 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Duane Underwood Jr.: day-to-day (Forearm)

Diamondbacks: Kyle Lewis: 10 Day IL (Illness), Anthony Misiewicz: 15 Day IL (Calf), Joe Mantiply: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Zach Davies: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Cole Sulser: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Carson Kelly: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Pirates 4, Diamondbacks 3

Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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