Yankees vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 20, 2023

May 20, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The New York Yankees (27-20), led by the red-hot Aaron Judge and his two-game homer streak, are -145 favorites to pick up a win over the Cincinnati Reds (19-25) Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, live from Great American Ball Park and broadcast on BSOH.

Jhony Brito will get the ball for New York while Cincinnati will counter with Luke Weaver.

Yankees vs. Reds Odds

Yankees odds to win: -145
Reds odds to win: +124
Spread: Yankees -1.5
Total: 10.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 20, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: BSOH

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Who Will Win Yankees vs. Reds?

Yankees and Reds Betting Trends

The Yankees are 21-12 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 63.6% of those games).

New York has gone 14-3 (winning 82.4% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -145 or shorter.

The Reds have won 13, or 40.6%, of the 32 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

This season, Cincinnati has won six of its 21 games, or 28.6%, when it’s the underdog by at least +124 on the moneyline.

The Yankees have had an over/under set by bookmakers 47 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 21 of those games (21-25-1).

The Reds and their opponents have hit the over in 23 of their 44 games with a total this season.

Yankees Stats & Insights

The Yankees rank 11th in runs scored with 215, 4.6 per game.

New York ranks fourth in baseball with 69 home runs. They average 1.5 per game.

The Yankees have the 22nd-ranked batting average in the majors (.235).

New York’s 8.2 strikeouts per game rank 14th in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Yankees has a collective 9.1 K/9, the ninth-best in MLB.

New York has a 3.69 team ERA that ranks seventh across all MLB pitching staffs.

Reds Stats & Insights

The Reds have scored the 21st-most runs in the league this season with 190 (4.3 per game).

Cincinnati’s 34 home runs rank 28th in MLB this season.

The Reds have a team batting average of .247 this season, which ranks 15th among MLB teams.

Cincinnati ranks 22nd in strikeouts per game (9.1) among MLB offenses.

The Reds average 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, eighth-most in the league.

Cincinnati pitchers have a combined ERA of 5.10 ERA this year, which ranks 27th in MLB.

Yankees Key Players to Watch

Brito (3-3) gets the starting nod for the Yankees in his ninth start of the season. He’s put together a 5.45 ERA in 36 1/3 innings pitched, with 24 strikeouts.

Gleyber Torres has been key for New York with 41 hits, an OBP of .339 plus a slugging percentage of .418.

Judge is batting .278 this season with a team-high 13 home runs and 29 RBI.

Anthony Rizzo’s batting average of .300 leads all New York hitters this season.

Anthony Volpe has collected 35 hits this season and has an OBP of .306. He’s slugging .395 on the year.

Reds Key Players to Watch

The Reds will hand the ball to Weaver (1-2) for his sixth start of the season.

Jonathan India is hitting .290 with 12 doubles, three home runs and 21 walks.

Jake Fraley’s five home runs and 31 runs batted in both pace his team.

Spencer Steer paces the Reds with five home runs.

Nick Senzel is batting .264 with five doubles, four home runs and 12 walks.

Yankees and Reds Injuries

Yankees: Giancarlo Stanton: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Jose Trevino: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Josh Donaldson: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Ian Hamilton: 15 Day IL (Groin), Carlos Rodón: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Severino: 15 Day IL (Lat), Jonathan Loaisiga: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Lou Trivino: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Gil: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Frankie Montás: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tommy Kahnle: 60 Day IL (Biceps)

Reds: TJ Friedl: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Derek Law: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Nick Lodolo: 15 Day IL (Calf), Casey Legumina: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Fernando Cruz: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Reiver Sanmartin: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Connor Overton: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Santillan: 60 Day IL (Back), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Joey Votto: 60 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)