Angels vs. Twins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 21, 2023

May 21, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Los Angeles Angels (24-23) host the Minnesota Twins (25-21) Sunday to close out a three-game series. The Angels are favored (-155) to win the rubber match, which starts at 4:07 PM ET from Angel Stadium of Anaheim.

Los Angeles’ Shohei Ohtani and Minnesota’s Pablo Lopez have been named the starters for this contest.

Angels vs. Twins Odds

Angels odds to win: -155
Twins odds to win: +132
Spread: Angels -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, May 21, 2023
Time: 4:07 PM ET
TV: BSW

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Who Will Win Angels vs. Twins?

Angels and Twins Betting Trends

The Angels have been favored on the moneyline 28 total times this season. They’ve gone 15-13 in those games.

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -155 or shorter, Los Angeles has a 9-4 record (winning 69.2% of its games).

The Twins have entered the game as underdogs 16 times this season and won five, or 31.2%, of those games.

Minnesota has a record of 2-2 when it’s set as an underdog of +132 or more by oddsmakers this season.

The Angels have played in 47 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 23 times (23-21-3).

The Twins and their opponents have hit the over in 20 of their 46 games with a total this season.

Angels Stats & Insights

The Angels score the sixth-most runs in baseball (235 total, five per game).

Los Angeles averages 1.3 home runs per game to rank eighth in MLB action with 60 total home runs.

The Angels’ .261 batting average is sixth-best in the majors.

Los Angeles’ 8.5 strikeouts per game rank 17th in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Angels has a collective 8.7 K/9, which ranks 14th in MLB.

Los Angeles has a 4.45 team ERA that ranks 21st among all MLB pitching staffs.

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins rank 12th in the majors with 217 total runs scored this season.

Minnesota ranks seventh in Major League Baseball with 62 home runs.

The Twins’ .231 batting average ranks 24th in the league this season.

Minnesota ranks just 29th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 9.7 whiffs per contest.

The Twins average 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, most in the league.

Minnesota has pitched to a 3.39 ERA this season, which ranks third in baseball.

Angels Key Players to Watch

Ohtani (5-1) gets the starting nod for the Angels in his sixth start of the season. He’s put together a 3.23 ERA in 53 2/3 innings pitched, with 71 strikeouts.

Ohtani is batting .286 this season with a team-high 11 home runs and 32 RBI.

Hunter Renfroe has collected 47 hits this season and has an OBP of .321. He’s slugging .489 on the year.

Mike Trout has 47 hits this season and a slash line of .281/.373/.521.

Taylor Ward is batting .227 with an OBP of .303 and a slugging percentage of .320 this season.

Twins Key Players to Watch

Lopez (2-2) will take the mound for the Twins, his 10th start of the season.

Byron Buxton paces the Twins with a team-high batting average of .235.

Joey Gallo’s 11 home runs pace his team.

Carlos Correa has nine doubles, a triple, six home runs and 22 walks while batting .205.

Trevor Larnach’s 27 runs batted in pace his team.

Angels and Twins Injuries

Angels: Anthony Rendon: 10 Day IL (Groin), Max Stassi: 10 Day IL (Hip ), José Suarez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Austin Warren: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Logan O’Hoppe: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), José Quijada: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Rodriguez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jose Marte: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Davis Daniel: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

Twins: Nick Gordon: 10 Day IL (Shin), Jorge Polanco: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Max Kepler: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Kenta Maeda: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Jorge Alcala: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Caleb Thielbar: 15 Day IL (Oblique strain), Tyler Mahle: 60 Day IL (Arm), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Byron Buxton: day-to-day (Leg)